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Weekly closes ยท USD
Market context
Stage
4 ยท Stage 4A ยท Breakdown, as of 18 Sep 2026
Sentiment
50 ยท As of 24 Sep 2026
RS
-23.11
Dynamics
-1.36
Fair value gap
+54.5%
Week range
33.10โ35.89
Weekly Chart PackCompleted weekly market data ยท Independent research
NYSE ยท Equity ยท United States
CYD
China Yuchai International Limited
Consumer CyclicalAuto Manufacturers
China Yuchai International Limited manufactures, assembles and sells diesel and natural gas engines in the People's Republic of China and internationally. The company is headquartered in Singapore.
Last updated
18 Sep 2026
Exchange
NYSE ยท NYSE
Sector
Consumer Cyclical
Industry
Auto Manufacturers
Currency
USD
Market capitalisation
1,298,133,919
Fair value reference
22.91
Next-week expectancy
Positive ยท 56.47%
Executive chart read
Over the latest 12 completed weeks ending 2026-09-18, CYD fell 16.80%, moving from 42.55 to 35.40. The latest weekly close is below the Trend Line and above Fair Value. Trend Signal is inactive on the latest week and was active in 1 of the last 12 weeks. Relative Strength is -23.11 and has softened across the 12-week window. Market Dynamics is -1.36 on the latest week. Next-week expectancy is positive at 56.47% based on similar historical setup states.
Week Ending
18 Sep 2026
Latest Close
35.40
12-Week Change
-16.80%
Trend Signal
Inactive
Next-Week Expectancy
Positive 56.47%
Signal Weeks
1 of 12
Reversal Map Indicator
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Weekly Trend
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Weekly Close
Trend Line
Fair Value
Activity LinesDirection Line
Analysis panels
Choose up to 6 panels. Drag panel headers to reorder.
Price Sponsorship Indicator
What it is
Price Sponsorship Indicator PSI
PSI compares the weekly price move with the market activity behind it. It shows whether price has broad support or whether that support is weakening.
Current completed-week read ยท 2026-09-18
Price remains unsettled
Price and PSI remain weak or inconsistent. An improvement in the bars would be the first sign of recovery.
PSI score
32/100
1 completed week
Recent support
-23
Building
Readings pointing the same way
75%
Little clear activity
What it shows
Price and the support behind it
The navy line is price. Green and red bars show support. The coloured trend lines show positive, negative or possible change.
01Support buildsGreen bars rise above zero.
02Price confirmsPrice rises with positive bars.
03Support holdsPositive bars remain with price.
04WarningBars weaken before or with price.
PricePositive trendNegative trendPossible changeStrong supportPositive supportWeak support
What it shows
Is this move specific to the ticker or shared by the market?
This compares the ticker's PSI reading with how widely stocks on its exchange are moving together. It does not change PSI.
Stocks moving together54/100
Broad move building ยท more together
Ticker and market
Weakness is mainly in this ticker
PSI is weak, but the wider market is not showing the same degree of pressure.
PSI
-35.0
Market togetherness
54/100
Ticker supported, market mixed
Positive PSI without a strong shared market move.
Ticker supported, market moving together
Positive PSI within a strong shared market move.
Ticker weak, market mixed
Weak PSI without matching broad market weakness.
Current contextTicker weak, broad market weak
Weak PSI within a strong shared market decline.
Second check
Does Market Dynamics agree?
PSI shows support for the price move. Market Dynamics provides a separate check on whether conditions beneath price point the same way.
What it shows
Both readings are weak
PSI and Market Dynamics point in the same weak direction.
Current reading
-1.36
Four-week change
-0.58
Sharemaestro ยท CYD ยท Weekly price reversals
RMI Reversal Map Indicator
See where price breaks a previous high or low, turns back, and confirms a change in direction.
โ Broke a prior high / lowโ Closed back across the levelโฒ / โผ Reversal confirmedโ โ Confirmation levelโ Average price since the sweep (VWAP)
Observed follow-through
What happened after confirmation?
Direction-adjusted price moves from the next weekly open. Only outcomes completed by the replay date are included. Before costs; no exit rules applied. Overlapping observations are not independent trades or a forecast.
Dated observations
Setup journal
Reading the chart
The chart opens on the latest 152 weeks. Choose 52 or 104 weeks for a closer view. Only confirmed reversals are shown. Clear confirmations is the stricter starting view; All confirmations also includes reversals that did not meet every strength check. Green marks a confirmed turn up; red marks a confirmed turn down. Dashed outlines mark historical setups. A zone marks where the reversal developed; its end does not mean the whole price move ended. Select a journal entry to review a past setup, or use the replay slider to see what was known at an earlier close.
Annotations adds dates and explanations for every visible zone. A separate Follow-up complete marker shows when eight weeks of tracking finished. The price move may continue beyond it. The numbered notes below the chart also let you select a zone to inspect it. Confirmed reversals can fail; failed setups stay in the history. Follow-through figures describe past price moves before costs; they are not a forecast or trading record.
Results use completed weekly prices. Missing or revised source data can affect the saved history.
Adaptive Price Envelope
Price, volatility and confirmation
Adaptive Price Envelope APE
See where price sits inside boundaries that adjust to completed-week direction and volatility, then check whether the wider evidence confirms the move.
Current completed-week read ยท 2026-09-18
Price is testing the lower adaptive boundary
Lower-envelope pressure is established. The important distinction is whether price repairs back inside the envelope or continues lower with confirming evidence.
The positive weekly move attracted clearly elevated participation.
Price, structure and participation
Where price advanced, failed, reclaimed or lost important ground
Candles preserve the completed weekly tape. Selected annotations identify meaningful finished events and point directly to the week concerned.
Up weekDown weekTrend referenceCompleted supportCompleted resistanceVolumeTypical volumePublished event
What happened this week?
The latest completed candle
The latest week is separated into price change, candle character, closing position and path quality.
Weekly move-1.17%
Latest close versus the preceding completed close.
Candle characterIndecisive week
The open and close finished close together, showing limited control by either side.
Where the week closedNear the weekly high
The close finished at 82% of the completed weekly range.
Path qualityOrderly and confirmed
Recent swings and the longer trend relationship agree with comparatively steady follow-through.
Current evaluation
What the weekly tape says now
The interpretation combines completed price structure, trend relationship, participation and path quality.
What supports it
The latest close finished below the recent completed price structure.
What would improve it
A sustained close above the nearest completed resistance, supported by firmer participation, would improve confirmation.
What could weaken it
A sustained loss of the nearest completed support would materially weaken the current price structure.
What to watch next
Trend relationship is below a falling trend; participation is strong positive participation, and path quality is orderly and confirmed.
Statistical perspective
Where the latest close sits in its own completed history
These observations describe the available record. They are market context, not predictions of the next move.
Position in completed history57% of range
The latest close's location between the lowest and highest completed closes available for this market.
Distance from completed high-38.3%
How far the latest close sits below the highest completed close in the available history.
Recovery from completed low+468.3%
How far the latest close has advanced from the lowest completed close in the available history.
Latest move versus typical0.4ร typical
The absolute latest weekly move compared with completed weekly moves available before it.
Completed event history
What changed, and when
Only selected completed events are shown. Each annotation is descriptive, not a standalone instruction.
Support structure lost
The weekly close moved below the preceding completed price structure.
Latest week
Trend lost
The weekly close moved below the completed trend reference.
5 weeks ago
Trend reclaimed
The weekly close moved back above the completed trend reference.
10 weeks ago
Upside structure cleared
The weekly close moved above the preceding completed price structure.
17 weeks ago
High-participation reversal
Price changed weekly direction with elevated participation.
29 weeks ago
Range
Sharemaestro Range
Where price is trading
The fitted range, accepted trading area and strongest price levels are calculated automatically from completed weekly market data.
Current stateBelow the trend range
52-week position
20.6%
Low to high
Accepted price
38.76
Latest versus accepted: -8.67%
Fitted direction
Rising
0.34% per week
Range pressure
16/100
Lower pressure
Range condition
Contracting
0.58ร normal range
Range pressureCurrent range pressure ยท 50 is balanced
Weekly closeFitted rangeActivity ribbonEstimated activity at priceAutomatic level
Automatic structure
Strongest price levels
Support16.52
From price
-53.4%
Evidence
70/100
Touches
2
Support26.49
From price
-25.2%
Evidence
49/100
Touches
2
Support33.12
From price
-6.4%
Evidence
28/100
Touches
1
Resistance36.55
From price
3.3%
Evidence
93/100
Touches
6
Resistance38.76
From price
9.5%
Evidence
100/100
Touches
4
Current reading
What the range shows
Current positionBelow the trend range
Price is at 20.6% of its latest 52-week range.
Fitted directionRising
The fitted centre line is moving +0.34% per week.
Range pressureLower pressure
The current pressure reading is 16/100; 50 is balanced.
Next structural level33.12
Support is 6.4% from the latest close with 28/100 evidence strength.
Point & Figure
Price structure ยท volume at price
Point & Figure market structure
Each X marks a rising price box and each O marks a falling price box. Time is removed from the horizontal scale so reversals, breakouts and areas of heavy trading stand out.
MethodAdaptive scale
Smart Money
Completed-week positioning evidence
Smart Money
See whether the support beneath price is strengthening, weakening, confirming the trend or warning of increased risk.
Current Smart Money readSmart Money support is weak
The current completed-week evidence is not providing dependable confirmation for price.
Momentum 0.34 ยท Weakening
Trend qualityWeak alignment
The current trend state has persisted for 11 completed weeks; visible confirmation is weak alignment.
Momentum pathSoft ยท Weakening
The latest completed-week level and direction.
Latest positive signalNo recent positive signal
The chart is carrying context rather than a fresh positive event marker.
Risk and warningsNormal
Earlier warnings are outside the recent completed-week window.
Price, support and published events
Where confirmation strengthened or risk increased
Selected annotations highlight meaningful completed-week events; every existing chart series and marker remains visible.
Close Price
Trend Line
Demand Threshold Line
Reversal Risk Level
Current evaluation
What the Smart Money chart means now
The reading combines the finished chart state, its direction and the timing of published signals.
What supports it
There is limited positive confirmation; the chart should be read cautiously until support improves.
What would improve it
A turn higher in the momentum path, followed by steadier trend confirmation, would strengthen the reading.
What could weaken it
There is no fresh positive event marker, so the current reading depends on continued confirmation rather than a new signal.
Published signal history
What changed, and when
Event markers are observations, not standalone instructions to buy or sell.
Reversal danger
The chart registered its strongest reversal warning.
14 weeks ago
Demand warning
Demand support weakened enough to merit attention.
15 weeks ago
Demand warning
Demand support weakened enough to merit attention.
16 weeks ago
Demand warning
Demand support weakened enough to merit attention.
17 weeks ago
Reversal risk
The chart registered elevated reversal risk.
17 weeks ago
Market Dynamics
Price and underlying support
Market Dynamics
See whether the support beneath price is strengthening, weakening, confirming the move or beginning to diverge from it.
Zero lineMarket Dynamics Rate of ChangePrice ActionVolume ActionFlip UpFlip Down
Price and support relationship ยท 12 completed weeks
Price weakness is confirmed by Market Dynamics
Price changed -11.2% and Market Dynamics changed -0.58 over the latest 4 completed weeks. Both readings currently point to weaker completed-week conditions.
Latest 4 weeks in focus
Price change from 2026-07-03Market DynamicsLatest 4 completed weeks
Zone-to-zone journey model
42% across the current zone span
The model estimates a 19% chance of confirming accumulation within 52 completed weeks and a 51% chance of returning to the source zone first.
Current journey
Distribution to accumulation ยท Progressing
Activated
2026-06-12
Model data
Through 2026-08-21
What Market Dynamics shows
Yes. Market Dynamics follows the completed-week transition between the two sides of a market cycle. Accumulation is the lower zone where selling pressure may be absorbed and support may be forming; distribution is the upper zone where earlier demand may be tiring and supply can begin to take control. The model measures both accumulation to distribution and the reverse journey, and waits for a deeper close or repeated closes before treating a new zone as confirmed. CYD is 42% across its current move from distribution back toward accumulation. The journey remains open because neither the target nor a return to the source has been confirmed. For an investor, the value is in separating an apparent price move from a completed change in market character: target confirmation can strengthen the case that a new phase is taking hold, while a confirmed source return warns that the attempted change did not persist and the risk/reward should be reassessed. The completed journeys below show how 1 transitions in this ticker's stored history reached and confirmed the opposite zone.
Current zone-span position 42%
Distribution to Accumulation ยท 14 completed weeks since exit
Complete within 26 weeks 9%
Confirm the current accumulation zone first
Complete within 52 weeks 19%
Confirm the target zone using completed weeks
Invalidate within 52 weeks 51%
Confirm a return to the source zone first
Question 1 ยท Where has price travelled?
Current journey through the zone span
Zero is the confirmed starting zone; 100% is the opposite target zone.
Observed zone-span positionStarting-zone sideTarget-zone side
Question 2 ยท What does the model estimate?
Current 52-week outcome probability
These are competing model outcomes for the active journey, not next-week forecasts.
Confirm target within 52 weeksReturn to source within 52 weeks
12 weeks2%
26 weeks9%
52 weeks19%
Accumulation zone
14.25 / deep 8.19
Current close
35.40
Distribution zone
50.64 / deep 56.70
Source-zone dwell
4 completed weeks
Market Dynamics -1.36Latest causal completed-week reading12-week change -1.99Change in underlying supportTrend position -20%Close relative to the Trend LineVolume ratio 0.93รRecent activity versus its baseline
What actually happened before?
Successful zone transitions
Target-confirmed opposite-zone transitions from the latest 156 charted weeks.
Most recent successful journeyAccumulation to Distribution ยท Confirmed distribution
2025-02-21โ2026-02-20 ยท 53 completed weeks ยท price move +186.5%. Across this chart, 1 journey confirmed an opposite zone: 1 reached distribution and 0 reached accumulation.
0% ยท confirmed source exit100% ยท confirmed opposite zone
Accumulation to DistributionConfirmed distribution
2025-02-21โ2026-02-20 ยท journey 53w ยท source dwell 73w
Source exit50%Target confirmed
Furthest point
100%
Price move
+186.5%
Time to confirm
53w
Reached and confirmed distribution after 53 completed weeks. Price moved +186.5% from the confirmed source-zone exit.
Price Cycle
Completed-week market perception
Price Cycle
A deep view of whether price pressure is strong, weak, strengthening, fading or moving through a higher-risk transition.
Current Price Cycle readPositive pressure remains established, but is cooling
Price is holding a constructive market-perception position. Positive pressure remains, but it is becoming less forceful.
+54.53% ยท Positive ยท Cooling
Market positionPositive
Price is holding a constructive market-perception position.
Pressure directionCooling
Positive pressure remains, but it is becoming less forceful.
Trend qualityPersistent
Directional progress remains visible despite some interruption.
Risks and warningsNormal
No elevated completed-week pressure warning is active.
Pressure, price and published transitions
Where market perception strengthened, faded or changed state
The percentage reading is primary. Weekly close is retained only as market context; selected annotations identify meaningful completed transitions.
Market PerceptionPositive pressureNegative pressureWeekly CloseBalanceCrossed upCrossed downPublished transition or Price Action signal
Current evaluation
What the Price Cycle says now
The evaluation combines the finished pressure state, its direction, persistence and historical context.
What supports it
Price remains in positive market-perception territory.
What would improve it
Renewed upward pressure without further loss of path quality would restore confidence.
What could weaken it
A turn lower in the pressure path or a loss of balance would weaken the current interpretation.
What to watch next
The latest path is cooling with persistent trend quality. Comparable history is mixed follow-through.
Statistical perspective
How unusual, persistent and historically consequential is this position?
Historical observations describe completed evidence. They do not predict the next price move.
Historical positionUpper 23% of history
The latest reading is stronger than 77% of completed observations.
State persistence91 completed weeks
The current positive state has persisted without interruption.
Comparable historyMixed follow-through
Across 82 comparable completed observations, later closes were higher 45% of the time; the typical move was -0.9%. This is context, not a forecast.
Published transition history
What changed, and when
Transitions are completed observations, not standalone instructions to buy or sell.
Positive pressure began cooling
Strength remained positive, but the completed path became less forceful.
4 weeks ago
Positive pressure began cooling
Strength remained positive, but the completed path became less forceful.
14 weeks ago
Elevated strength
Positive pressure entered an historically strong position.
17 weeks ago
Positive pressure began cooling
Strength remained positive, but the completed path became less forceful.
20 weeks ago
Positive pressure began cooling
Strength remained positive, but the completed path became less forceful.
28 weeks ago
Elevated strength
Positive pressure entered an historically strong position.
36 weeks ago
VWAP Control
Completed-week volume-weighted structure
VWAP Control
Shows price against its completed-week volume-weighted references, changes in control and the levels that would confirm or weaken the current reading.
Current controlSellers firmly in control
Price is below the core VWAP, which is falling. 50% of recent weighted activity has been accepted above it.
15/100 pressure
ControlSellers firmly in control
Pressure 15/100 and -5.6 points over four weeks.
VWAP stack0 of 7 below price
6 references converge near 44.83: 13-week VWAP, 52-week VWAP, Latest earnings VWAP, High-activity anchor, Year VWAP, 26-week VWAP.
Acceptance50% above
Share of recent completed weighted activity accepted on the prevailing side of the core VWAP.
Control backgroundBuyer controlContestedSeller control
Seller control50 ยท contestedBuyer control
Current VWAP signals
Control, agreement and concentration
Seller control, but extended
Seller control, but extended
The VWAP structure is weak, but price is stretched far enough below the core level for snap-back risk to matter.
Price and VWAP pressure broadly agree
No material six-week disagreement is present between price direction and VWAP control.
VWAP cluster present
6 references converge near 44.83: 13-week VWAP, 52-week VWAP, Latest earnings VWAP, High-activity anchor, Year VWAP, 26-week VWAP.
Confirmation and failure levels
Levels that change the current reading
Confirmation40.23
A completed close above Swing high with pressure holding above 60 would strengthen buyer control.
Decision area40.23
Swing high at 40.23, 13.6% above the latest close.
Weakening level46.06
A completed loss of the core VWAP with pressure below 40 would strengthen seller control.
Current VWAP stack
Volume-weighted price levels
Swing high40.23
+13.64% from close
13-week VWAP42.82
+20.96% from close
52-week VWAP43.17
+21.96% from close
Latest earnings VWAP45.04
+27.24% from close
High-activity anchor45.94
+29.76% from close
Year VWAP45.96
+29.83% from close
26-week VWAP46.06
+30.12% from close
Estimated activity position
Activity above and below price
Below price 11%Above price 89%
25%near price
A notable share of recent weighted activity remains above price and may act as overhead supply.
Estimated from completed weekly typical prices and reported activity; it is not holder-level cost-basis data.
Benchmark, sector and industry
VWAP control comparison
Sector and industry comparisons require at least ten constituents with aligned completed history.
Benchmark ยท SPYWeaker control than reference
Weaker control than reference; control-score gap -66.6 points.
Buyers firmly in control ยท 81/100
Sector ยท Consumer CyclicalWeaker control than reference
Weaker control than reference; control-score gap -12.9 points.
Seller control developing ยท 28/100
Industry ยท Auto ManufacturersBroadly aligned with reference
Broadly aligned with reference; control-score gap +2.2 points.
Sellers firmly in control ยท 13/100
Historical VWAP outcomes
Reclaims, losses and similar states
Descriptive outcomes from this ticker's visible historyโnot a forecast.
Weekly reclaim100% favourable
Events
6
Median 4w
+14.70%
Median 13w
+32.79%
Typical best
+60.88%
Typical worst
-7.24%
Completed occasions when price moved back above the core VWAP.
Weekly loss0% favourable
Events
5
Median 4w
+8.67%
Median 13w
+30.75%
Typical best
+40.17%
Typical worst
-5.30%
Completed occasions when price moved below the core VWAP.
Comparable control states5 matched weeks
Positive after 4w
60%
Median 4w
+3.13%
Positive after 13w
100%
Median 13w
+37.83%
Best / worst 13w
+79.8% / +15.1%
Outcomes after completed weeks with a similar control score and the same side of the core VWAP.
VWAP control history
Completed changes
VWAP structure turned lower
The fast VWAP crossed below the core VWAP.
VWAP reclaim rejected
Price tested above the core VWAP but completed the week back below it.
VWAP reclaim rejected
Price tested above the core VWAP but completed the week back below it.
VWAP reclaim rejected
Price tested above the core VWAP but completed the week back below it.
Core VWAP lost
Price completed the week below the core VWAP.
Core VWAP test held
Price traded through the core VWAP but recovered above it by the completed close.
Core VWAP reclaimed
Price completed the week back above the core VWAP.
VWAP reclaim rejected
Price tested above the core VWAP but completed the week back below it.
Next-State Map
Next-State Map
Historical one-week transition paths from similar completed-week states.
SMI
Proprietary completed-week evidence
SMI
See whether the underlying conditions beneath price are strengthening, weakening or holding firm.
Current SMI readUnderlying support remains weak and requires repair
Price weakness is accompanied by a cautious SMI state. The latest reading is based on completed weekly evidence.
0.18 ยท Weak
Current stateWeak ยท 0.18
Latest completed-week SMI reading
DirectionWeakening
How the completed SMI path is changing
PersistenceNew
1 completed week in the current state
Price relationshipConfirming price weakness
Price weakness is accompanied by a cautious SMI state.
Price and SMI transitions
Where underlying support changed
Annotations identify selected completed SMI state changes.
Weekly CloseTrend LineFair ValueActivity Lines
SMI pathDirection, persistence and turning points
SMI 0.18 ยท Weak
ImprovingHolding steadyWeakening
SMI in context
Comparable SMI states have carried a positive historical bias
Across 45 comparable completed observations, 66.7% closed higher after 13 weeks. The median move was +3.9%.
Comparable observations
45
Completed historical readings
Positive outcomes
66.7%
After 13 completed weeks
Median move
+3.9%
Over the following 13 weeks
Versus normal baseline
+14.3 pts
Difference in positive outcome rate
Chart Summary
Key Points
Week Ending
18 Sep 2026
Latest Close
35.40
12-Week Change
-16.80%
Trend Signal
Inactive
Next-Week Expectancy
Positive 56.47%
Signal Weeks
1 of 12
Vs Trend Line
Below
Vs Fair Value
Above
Relative Strength
-23.11
Market Dynamics
-1.36
Over the latest 12 completed weeks ending 2026-09-18, CYD fell 16.80%, moving from 42.55 to 35.40. The latest weekly close is below the Trend Line and above Fair Value. Trend Signal is inactive on the latest week and was active in 1 of the last 12 weeks. Relative Strength is -23.11 and has softened across the 12-week window. Market Dynamics is -1.36 on the latest week. Next-week expectancy is positive at 56.47% based on similar historical setup states.
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