TH NASDAQ Week ended 11 Sep 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Target Hospitality Corp · Industrials · Specialty Business Services

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Latest close 19.25 USD
-1.4% latest week
Weekly setup

Constructive, but selective

The weekly trend is active. Price is 25.6% above the Trend Line and sits at 89.2% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -1.4%, after a 10.4% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth is moderate; valuation is expensive relative to peers. Options positioning is volatility with 50/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 51/100. Near-term considerations: earnings are due in 47d.

Setup score 71 out of 100
Latest Close 19.25 USD 11 Sep 2026
1W Return -1.4% latest completed week
4W Return 10.4% short-term follow-through
12W Return -4.5% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 57.7% 30 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 2.5x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 25-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Volume is elevated versus the 13-week average, confirming attention.
What could go wrong
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
  • 6 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through -1.4% Latest completed week; four-week move 10.4%. Indicator stack 77/53 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Options pressure Volatility 50/100 conviction; expected move 6.2%. News sentiment 51/100 43 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 47d Next report is scheduled for 05 Nov 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 25.6% above the Trend Line and sits at 89.2% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -1.4%, after a 10.4% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 2.5x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul 7 Aug 14 Aug 21 Aug 28 Aug 4 Sep 11 Sep
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.7012-week average 0.85

12-week confirmation

Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure4/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership12/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.70Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers66 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 6 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 10.4% over four weeks, -4.5% over 12 weeks, and 118.0% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 25 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-1.4%
4W10.4%
12W-4.5%
26W106.8%
52W118.0%
Active trend streak25 weeks
Active weeks in one year30
Trend breadth57.7%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.16Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change75.6%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership47.85Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change28.7%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth is moderate; valuation is expensive relative to peers.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 11 Sep 2026 Financial statements through 30 Jun 2026 Field coverage 91% Model confidence 91%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength28/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 73; rank 1 is best.
Value20/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 81; rank 1 is best.
Quality20/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 81; rank 1 is best.
Momentum96/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 5; rank 1 is best.
Growth73/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 28; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
-
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
5.4x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
46.5x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
4.7%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
7.3%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
-9.6%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
25.6%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
-6.7%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
11.9%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
102.7%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
5/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
-
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
0.0%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
0.0%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
0.1x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningVolatility

TH shows volatility options pressure with a 50/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.19, expected move of 6.2%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Conviction50/100
Expected move6.2%
Put/call volume0.19
Pressure75
Speculation2
Volatility81
Trend agreement38
Open options detail
Insider activity15 / 5

15 acquisitions and 5 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment51/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 43 relevant articles.

21 positive · 14 neutral · 8 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings47dNext report is scheduled for 05 Nov 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move6.2%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-7.7%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility5.9%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher15 of 2611 weeks finished lower.
Best week+44.4%Week of 3 Apr.
Worst week-8.9%Week of 17 Jul.
Latest week-1.4%Week of 11 Sep.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains10
Modest gains5
Flat weeks0
Modest losses6
Sharp losses5
Recent vol5.9%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol9.7%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split28/24Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew8.2% / -5.4%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape70/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 70/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis64/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 4/12, relative leadership 12/12.

Activity pressure 0.70; 6 reversal markers Factors38/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 62; Small Cap Core rank 91 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Options45/100

TH shows volatility options pressure with a 50/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.19, expected move of 6.2%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Volatility · Volatility expansion watch · Expected move 6.2% Sentiment51/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 43 relevant articles.

James Bradley Archer Acquires 13,385 Shares of Target Hospitality (NASDAQ:TH) Stock Insiders15 / 5

15 acquisitions and 5 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

 Earnings47d

Next report is scheduled for 05 Nov 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
11 Sep 202619.25 USD-1.4%15.33 USD10.20 USD-0.1647.8517.0MOn
4 Sep 202619.52 USD5.2%14.92 USD10.17 USD-0.3850.965.3MOn
28 Aug 202618.55 USD3.9%14.51 USD10.14 USD-0.4845.818.5MOn
21 Aug 202617.85 USD2.4%14.12 USD10.12 USD-0.6342.435.0MOn
14 Aug 202617.44 USD5.6%13.78 USD10.11 USD-0.6637.196.7MOn
7 Aug 202616.51 USD8.6%13.45 USD10.09 USD-0.6932.785.8MOn
31 Jul 202615.20 USD-5.9%13.17 USD10.08 USD-0.5029.646.5MOn
24 Jul 202616.15 USD-1.3%12.94 USD10.06 USD-0.1239.863.1MOn
17 Jul 202616.36 USD-8.9%12.68 USD10.04 USD0.4540.964.3MOn
10 Jul 202617.96 USD-2.8%12.41 USD10.02 USD0.8950.035.7MOn
3 Jul 202618.47 USD-8.9%12.09 USD9.99 USD1.1558.987.1MOn
26 Jun 202620.27 USD0.5%11.75 USD9.95 USD1.1878.649.2MOn
19 Jun 202620.16 USD9.6%11.34 USD9.91 USD1.2372.905.4MOn
12 Jun 202618.40 USD14.2%10.90 USD9.86 USD1.3064.795.9MOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.

Evidence context