- The trend backdrop is active with a 35-week active streak.
- Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
TXN
NASDAQ
Week ended 02 Oct 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Texas Instruments Incorporated · Technology · Semiconductors
Latest close
293.80 USD
5.7%
latest week
Weekly setup
Constructive, but selective
The weekly trend is active. Price is 9.5% above the Trend Line and sits at 78.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 5.7%, after a 13.7% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth is moderate; valuation is expensive relative to peers. Options positioning is mixed with 20/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 53/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal; earnings are due in 11d.
Setup score
61
out of 100
Latest Close
293.80 USD
2 Oct 2026
1W Return
5.7%
latest completed week
4W Return
13.7%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
-5.2%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
67.3%
35 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
0.7x
vs 13-week average
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
- 2 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
5.7%
Latest completed week; four-week move 13.7%.
Indicator stack
82/40
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Options pressure
Mixed
20/100 conviction; expected move 3.5%.
News sentiment
53/100
77 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
Event risk
11d
Next report is scheduled for 21 Oct 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is active. Price is 9.5% above the Trend Line and sits at 78.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 5.7%, after a 13.7% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 0.7x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
14 Aug
21 Aug
28 Aug
4 Sep
11 Sep
18 Sep
25 Sep
2 Oct
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.4312-week average 0.67
12-week confirmation
Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure1/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership12/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.43Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers22 reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. 2 reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 13.7% over four weeks, -5.2% over 12 weeks, and 66.3% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 35 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak35 weeks
Active weeks in one year35
Trend breadth67.3%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.72Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change37.0%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership11.87Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change163.9%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth is moderate; valuation is expensive relative to peers.
Factor week 02 Oct 2026
Financial statements through 30 Jun 2026
Field coverage 100%
Model confidence 99%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength45/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 56; rank 1 is best.
Value3/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 98; rank 1 is best.
Quality98/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 3; rank 1 is best.
Momentum84/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 17; rank 1 is best.
Growth27/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 74; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Value-quality framework25/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- 44.3x Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- 13.8x Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- 29.4x Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- 1.9% Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- 58.3% Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- 37.3% Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- 27.5% Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- 22.4% Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- 16.7% Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- 20.1% Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- 256.3% Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 7/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- 1.9% Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- -0.1% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- 1.9% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- 1.1x Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Options positioningMixed
TXN shows mixed options pressure with a 20/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.76, expected move of 3.5%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.
Conviction20/100
Expected move3.5%
Put/call volume0.76
Insider activity8 / 12
8 acquisitions and 12 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.
Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.News sentiment53/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 77 relevant articles.
23 positive · 49 neutral · 5 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings11dNext report is scheduled for 21 Oct 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move3.5%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-11.6%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility4.3%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
31 Jul
28 Aug
2 Oct
Weeks higher15 of 2611 weeks finished lower.
Best week+20.6%Week of 24 Apr.
Worst week-12.0%Week of 26 Jun.
Latest week+5.7%Week of 2 Oct.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains9
Modest gains6
Flat weeks0
Modest losses7
Sharp losses4
Recent vol4.3%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol5.5%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split29/23Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew4.7% / -3.4%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorUS Technology
4-week rank31 / 100
Group average7.4%
Trend breadth64.0%
Trend64.0%active weekly trend signals
MD49.0%positive activity pressure
RS58.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryUS Semiconductors
4-week rank30 / 69
Group average12.6%
Trend breadth44.9%
Trend44.9%active weekly trend signals
MD14.5%positive activity pressure
RS56.5%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape61/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 61/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis58/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 1/12, relative leadership 12/12.
Activity pressure 0.43; 2 reversal markers Factors57/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Buyback Yield rank 78 SVQF25/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Composite rank 555.0 of 744 Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Options27/100No clear directional balance. Options do not give a clear directional confirmation of the stock trend.
2026-10-09 · Checks passed · Priced move ±3.5% Sentiment53/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 77 relevant articles.
Texas Instruments (TXN) Stock Falls Amid Market Uptick: What Investors Need to Know Insiders8 / 128 acquisitions and 12 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.
Earnings11dNext report is scheduled for 21 Oct 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Research flow4 items3 recent research articles and 1 Market Watch posts are available.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Oct 2026 | 293.80 USD | 5.7% | 268.25 USD | 194.31 USD | -0.72 | 11.87 | 22.7M | On |
| 25 Sep 2026 | 278.07 USD | 4.3% | 264.87 USD | 193.36 USD | -0.96 | 7.18 | 29.1M | On |
| 18 Sep 2026 | 266.64 USD | -0.8% | 262.64 USD | 192.51 USD | -1.05 | 6.57 | 40.5M | On |
| 11 Sep 2026 | 268.70 USD | 4.0% | 261.03 USD | 191.75 USD | -1.13 | 8.84 | 20.8M | On |
| 4 Sep 2026 | 258.44 USD | -0.1% | 259.58 USD | 190.99 USD | -1.15 | 4.50 | 25.4M | On |
| 28 Aug 2026 | 258.64 USD | -2.2% | 258.31 USD | 190.31 USD | -1.06 | 5.18 | 26.1M | On |
| 21 Aug 2026 | 264.36 USD | -5.4% | 256.84 USD | 189.65 USD | -0.90 | 8.03 | 31.5M | On |
| 14 Aug 2026 | 279.58 USD | -2.3% | 254.39 USD | 188.95 USD | -0.77 | 11.48 | 24.7M | On |
| 7 Aug 2026 | 286.08 USD | 3.7% | 251.39 USD | 188.14 USD | -0.65 | 15.67 | 34.9M | On |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 275.74 USD | -0.9% | 248.12 USD | 187.29 USD | -0.36 | 17.67 | 48.5M | On |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 278.15 USD | -1.6% | 244.78 USD | 186.52 USD | -0.12 | 19.89 | 46.2M | On |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 282.56 USD | -8.8% | 241.33 USD | 185.79 USD | 0.25 | 20.45 | 34.6M | On |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 309.86 USD | 6.3% | 237.72 USD | 185.06 USD | 0.76 | 26.80 | 31.9M | On |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 291.58 USD | 2.7% | 233.31 USD | 184.14 USD | 1.02 | 21.74 | 42.4M | On |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.