Weekly Chart PackCompleted weekly market data · Independent research
NYSE · Equity · United States
EXR
Extra Space Storage Inc
Real EstateReit - Industrial
Extra Space Storage is a real estate investment trust headquartered in Cottonwood Heights, Utah that invests in self storage units.
Last updated
28 Aug 2026
Exchange
NYSE · NYSE
Sector
Real Estate
Industry
Reit - Industrial
Currency
USD
Market capitalisation
30,898,172,858
Fair value reference
137.64
Next-week expectancy
Undecided · 46.62%
Executive chart read
Over the latest 12 completed weeks ending 2026-08-28, EXR fell 4.06%, moving from 148.95 to 142.91. The latest weekly close is above the Trend Line and above Fair Value. Trend Signal is active on the latest week and was active in 12 of the last 12 weeks. Relative Strength is -6.96 and has softened across the 12-week window. Market Dynamics is 0.09 on the latest week. Next-week expectancy is undecided at 46.62% based on similar historical setup states.
Week Ending
28 Aug 2026
Latest Close
142.91
12-Week Change
-4.06%
Trend Signal
Active
Next-Week Expectancy
Undecided 46.62%
Signal Weeks
12 of 12
Weekly Trend
Weekly Close
Trend Line
Fair Value
Activity Lines
Analysis panels
Choose up to 6 panels. Drag panel headers to reorder.
Adaptive Price Envelope
Price, volatility and confirmation
Adaptive Price Envelope APE
See where price sits inside boundaries that adjust to completed-week direction and volatility, then check whether the wider evidence confirms the move.
Current completed-week read · 2026-08-28
Price is advancing above the adaptive centre
The envelope places current price in context without treating a single band touch as a signal. Direction, persistence and the evidence checks below determine the quality of the read.
Rolling market memory and the nearest established acceptance above and below the current price.
Is market memory moving?
Accepted-value migration
Each column is a rolling one-year auction. Brighter areas show stronger price acceptance.
Where is the next market memory?
Auction runway
The upside is in price discovery while established market memory remains below.
AboveOpen discoveryNo established acceptance shelf is visible in this direction inside the three-year range.
Below141.39Established market memory sits 1.1% below the latest close.
Decision map
What would confirm or challenge the current interpretation?
Sustained weekly closes above149.00
Higher-value acceptance
Holding above this boundary while the acceptance centre rises would strengthen the higher-value interpretation.
Primary market-memory magnet141.39
Rotation toward value
This is the centre of the three-year auction and the principal reference if price rotates back through value.
Sustained weekly closes below127.02
Lower-value acceptance
Holding below this boundary while the acceptance centre falls would strengthen the lower-value interpretation.
Decision context
Structural references and cross-signal agreement
The closest market-memory levels, the evidence that agrees or disagrees, and the limits of the current interpretation.
Market memory
Nearest structural nodes
These are historical acceptance references, not live resting orders.
Acceptance shelfRepeated historical activity makes this a market-memory shelf.
141.39
-1.1%
Acceptance shelfRepeated historical activity makes this a market-memory shelf.
127.86
-10.5%
Low-acceptance corridorHistorically limited acceptance makes this a potential fast-travel area.
117.72
-17.6%
Low-acceptance corridorHistorically limited acceptance makes this a potential fast-travel area.
99.12
-30.6%
Cross-signal agreement
Does the wider Sharemaestro picture agree?
Agreement strengthens context; disagreement identifies where the thesis is vulnerable.
Auction locationShows where the latest close sits relative to established accepted value.Within accepted value
Accepted-value migrationCompares the recent acceptance centre with the preceding one-year auction.Lower
30-week trendThe latest close is 0.1% above the trend line.Price above
Fair-value positionMarket price is 3.8% above the current fair-value reference.Above
Point & Figure structureConfirms whether reversal structure agrees with the current auction direction.Supply column falling
Earnings repricingShows whether accepted market value is developing with or against the earnings relationship.Fundamental fracture
Accepted value migrating lower
Price remains within the broader value area while the recent acceptance centre moves lower.
More open above
The upside is in price discovery while established market memory remains below.
Established market memory
The three-year acceptance centre at 141.39 remains the dominant rotational reference.
Security-specific analogues
How comparable auction states resolved
Fewer than four non-overlapping comparable episodes exist in the visible history.
2 comparable non-overlapping episodes are visible; at least four are required before outcomes are summarised.
Price Action
Completed weekly market tape
Price Action
A deep view of how price is behaving against its own completed history, trend, structural levels and participation.
Current weekly interpretationAdvancing structure with weak close
Recent completed price swings are progressing higher on both sides of the range. Price is above its completed-week trend reference and that reference is rising.
Full context · Unstable
Current structureAdvancing structure
Recent completed price swings are progressing higher on both sides of the range.
Trend relationshipAbove a rising trend
Price is above its completed-week trend reference and that reference is rising.
Support and resistanceSupport 142.78 · Resistance 144.75
Nearest completed structural references around the latest close.
Participation qualityNormal participation
Participation was broadly consistent with the market's completed recent history.
Price, structure and participation
Where price advanced, failed, reclaimed or lost important ground
Candles preserve the completed weekly tape. Selected annotations identify meaningful finished events and point directly to the week concerned.
Up weekDown weekTrend referenceCompleted supportCompleted resistanceVolumeTypical volumePublished event
What happened this week?
The latest completed candle
The latest week is separated into price change, candle character, closing position and path quality.
Weekly move-2.66%
Latest close versus the preceding completed close.
Candle characterWeak close
Price declined and finished in the lower part of the completed weekly range.
Where the week closedNear the weekly low
The close finished at 8% of the completed weekly range.
Path qualityUnstable
Frequent recent changes in direction reduce confidence in the current price path.
Current evaluation
What the weekly tape says now
The interpretation combines completed price structure, trend relationship, participation and path quality.
What supports it
Recent completed price swings are progressing higher on both sides of the range.
What would improve it
A sustained close above the nearest completed resistance, supported by firmer participation, would improve confirmation.
What could weaken it
A sustained loss of the nearest completed support would materially weaken the current price structure.
What to watch next
Trend relationship is above a rising trend; participation is normal participation, and path quality is unstable.
Statistical perspective
Where the latest close sits in its own completed history
These observations describe the available record. They are market context, not predictions of the next move.
Position in completed history64% of range
The latest close's location between the lowest and highest completed closes available for this market.
Distance from completed high-24.0%
How far the latest close sits below the highest completed close in the available history.
Recovery from completed low+127.6%
How far the latest close has advanced from the lowest completed close in the available history.
Latest move versus typical1.1× typical
The absolute latest weekly move compared with completed weekly moves available before it.
Completed event history
What changed, and when
Only selected completed events are shown. Each annotation is descriptive, not a standalone instruction.
High-participation reversal
Price changed weekly direction with elevated participation.
4 weeks ago
Upside structure cleared
The weekly close moved above the preceding completed price structure.
11 weeks ago
Trend lost
The weekly close moved below the completed trend reference.
15 weeks ago
Trend reclaimed
The weekly close moved back above the completed trend reference.
20 weeks ago
Support structure lost
The weekly close moved below the preceding completed price structure.
43 weeks ago
Range
Sharemaestro Range
Where price is trading
The fitted range, accepted trading area and strongest price levels are calculated automatically from completed weekly market data.
Current stateInside accepted value
52-week position
57.4%
Low to high
Accepted price
141.63
Latest versus accepted: 0.90%
Fitted direction
Rising
0.22% per week
Range pressure
45/100
Balanced pressure
Range condition
Contracting
0.71× normal range
Range pressureCurrent range pressure · 50 is balanced
Weekly closeFitted rangeActivity ribbonEstimated activity at priceAutomatic level
Automatic structure
Strongest price levels
Support135.75
From price
-5.0%
Evidence
87/100
Touches
4
Support141.63
From price
-0.9%
Evidence
100/100
Touches
7
Resistance145.84
From price
2.1%
Evidence
85/100
Touches
6
Resistance148.86
From price
4.2%
Evidence
69/100
Touches
3
Current reading
What the range shows
Current positionInside accepted value
Price is at 57.4% of its latest 52-week range.
Fitted directionRising
The fitted centre line is moving +0.22% per week.
Range pressureBalanced pressure
The current pressure reading is 45/100; 50 is balanced.
Next structural level145.84
Resistance is 2.0% from the latest close with 85/100 evidence strength.
Point & Figure
Price structure · volume at price
Point & Figure market structure
Each X marks a rising price box and each O marks a falling price box. Time is removed from the horizontal scale so reversals, breakouts and areas of heavy trading stand out.
MethodAdaptive scale
Smart Money
Completed-week positioning evidence
Smart Money
See whether the support beneath price is strengthening, weakening, confirming the trend or warning of increased risk.
Current Smart Money readSmart Money evidence is mixed
Some visible evidence is supportive, but the combined picture does not yet justify a strong conclusion.
Momentum 0.71 · Holding steady
Trend qualityStrong alignment
The current trend state has persisted for 20 completed weeks; visible confirmation is strong alignment.
Momentum pathConstructive · Holding steady
The latest completed-week level and direction.
Latest positive signalNo recent positive signal
The chart is carrying context rather than a fresh positive event marker.
Risk and warningsNormal
Earlier warnings are outside the recent completed-week window.
Price, support and published events
Where confirmation strengthened or risk increased
Selected annotations highlight meaningful completed-week events; every existing chart series and marker remains visible.
Close Price
Trend Line
Demand Threshold Line
Reversal Risk Level
Current evaluation
What the Smart Money chart means now
The reading combines the finished chart state, its direction and the timing of published signals.
What supports it
The current trend relationship and completed-week context are broadly aligned.
What would improve it
Continued alignment without a new warning would reinforce the current constructive position.
What could weaken it
There is no fresh positive event marker, so the current reading depends on continued confirmation rather than a new signal.
Published signal history
What changed, and when
Event markers are observations, not standalone instructions to buy or sell.
Reversal danger
The chart registered its strongest reversal warning.
90 weeks ago
Reversal risk
The chart registered elevated reversal risk.
91 weeks ago
Reversal danger
The chart registered its strongest reversal warning.
99 weeks ago
Reversal risk
The chart registered elevated reversal risk.
105 weeks ago
Market Dynamics
Price and underlying support
Market Dynamics
See whether the support beneath price is strengthening, weakening, confirming the move or beginning to diverge from it.
Zero lineMarket Dynamics Rate of ChangePrice ActionVolume ActionFlip UpFlip Down
Price and support relationship · 12 completed weeks
Price weakness is confirmed by Market Dynamics
Price changed -3.5% and Market Dynamics changed -0.70 over the latest 4 completed weeks. Both readings currently point to weaker completed-week conditions.
Latest 4 weeks in focus
Price change from 2026-06-12Market DynamicsLatest 4 completed weeks
Zone-to-zone journey model
Between zones; waiting for a confirmed journey
No confirmed source-zone exit is active on the latest completed week.
Current journey
No active journey
Activated
Not active
Model data
Through 2026-08-21
What Market Dynamics shows
Yes. Market Dynamics follows the completed-week transition between the two sides of a market cycle. Accumulation is the lower zone where selling pressure may be absorbed and support may be forming; distribution is the upper zone where earlier demand may be tiring and supply can begin to take control. The model measures both accumulation to distribution and the reverse journey, and waits for a deeper close or repeated closes before treating a new zone as confirmed. EXR is currently between the two zones, so there is no confirmed zone-to-zone transition in progress. For an investor, the value is in separating an apparent price move from a completed change in market character: target confirmation can strengthen the case that a new phase is taking hold, while a confirmed source return warns that the attempted change did not persist and the risk/reward should be reassessed. The completed journeys below show how 1 transitions in this ticker's stored history reached and confirmed the opposite zone.
Accumulation 102.66Distribution 156.85
A dark-zone close or two consecutive light-zone closes confirms residence. A completed close moving out of confirmed accumulation starts a journey toward distribution; an exit from confirmed distribution starts the reverse journey. Time in each zone is retained before the next transition begins.
What actually happened before?
Successful zone transitions
Target-confirmed opposite-zone transitions from the latest 156 charted weeks.
Most recent successful journeyAccumulation to Distribution · Confirmed distribution
2023-11-10–2024-08-30 · 43 completed weeks · price move +53.4%. Across this chart, 1 journey confirmed an opposite zone: 1 reached distribution and 0 reached accumulation.
0% · confirmed source exit100% · confirmed opposite zone
Accumulation to DistributionConfirmed distribution
2023-11-10–2024-08-30 · journey 43w · source dwell 3w
Source exit50%Target confirmed
Furthest point
100%
Price move
+53.4%
Time to confirm
43w
Reached and confirmed distribution after 43 completed weeks. Price moved +53.4% from the confirmed source-zone exit.
Earnings and Price Index
Earnings and Price Index
A three-year index of the relationship between earnings power and market price.
Current stateFundamental fracture
Market price is leading earnings power; the spread is closing and has persisted through 11 updates.
Spread
Closing
Persistence
11 quarters
Confirmation
Broad support
Repricing pressure
Moderate — price-led
Market move28.0%
Three-year change
Earnings move-11.4%
Three-year change
Repricing spread-39.4 pts
closing
Current valuation26.3×
Price relative to earnings power
Market price is leading earnings power; the spread is closing and has persisted through 11 updates.
Market price
Earnings power
Repricing spread
Earnings update
Fundamental fracture
Earnings have weakened while price has not adjusted to the same degree.
Supporting evidence
Attribution, business confirmation and horizon robustness
The components behind the repricing relationship and the independent evidence that supports or challenges it.
What drove the move?
Earnings and relative valuation contributions
Shows how the earnings move and relative valuation combine into the total market move.
What supports the earnings picture?
Business confirmation
4 of 6 available business-quality checks are supportive.
EarningsRevenueCash generation
Cash conversionWhether reported profit is supported by free cash generation.Supportive
Revenue directionWhether top-line progress supports the earnings direction.Mixed
Free-cash-flow directionWhether free cash flow is improving with earnings.Caution
Accrual pressureLower accrual pressure is a cleaner confirmation of earnings.Supportive
A completed close above 13-week VWAP with pressure holding above 60 would strengthen buyer control.
Decision area142.64
26-week VWAP at 142.64, 0.2% below the latest close.
Weakening level142.64
A completed close below 26-week VWAP with acceptance moving under 50% would weaken the present structure.
Current VWAP stack
Volume-weighted price levels
26-week VWAP142.64
-0.19% from close
Year VWAP141.68
-0.86% from close
52-week VWAP138.92
-2.79% from close
13-week VWAP147.40
+3.14% from close
High-activity anchor148.79
+4.12% from close
Swing high148.79
+4.12% from close
Latest earnings VWAP148.79
+4.12% from close
Estimated activity position
Activity above and below price
Below price 67%Above price 33%
38%near price
Most recent weighted activity is below price, leaving a larger estimated cushion beneath the market.
Estimated from completed weekly typical prices and reported activity; it is not holder-level cost-basis data.
Benchmark, sector and industry
VWAP control comparison
Sector and industry comparisons require at least ten constituents with aligned completed history.
Benchmark · SPYWeaker control than reference
Weaker control than reference; control-score gap -24.8 points.
Buyers firmly in control · 83/100
Sector · Real EstateBroadly aligned with reference
Broadly aligned with reference; control-score gap +9.3 points.
Control is contested · 48/100
Industry · Reit - IndustrialWeaker control than reference
Weaker control than reference; control-score gap -12.8 points.
Buyer control developing · 71/100
Historical VWAP outcomes
Reclaims, losses and similar states
Descriptive outcomes from this ticker's visible history—not a forecast.
Weekly reclaim42% favourable
Events
12
Median 4w
-1.68%
Median 13w
-2.27%
Typical best
+4.78%
Typical worst
-8.99%
Completed occasions when price moved back above the core VWAP.
Weekly loss58% favourable
Events
12
Median 4w
+4.59%
Median 13w
-0.87%
Typical best
+9.39%
Typical worst
-4.23%
Completed occasions when price moved below the core VWAP.
Comparable control states21 matched weeks
Positive after 4w
48%
Median 4w
-0.63%
Positive after 13w
62%
Median 13w
+1.57%
Best / worst 13w
+23.5% / -11.0%
Outcomes after completed weeks with a similar control score and the same side of the core VWAP.
VWAP control history
Completed changes
Core VWAP test held
Price traded through the core VWAP but recovered above it by the completed close.
Core VWAP reclaimed
Price completed the week back above the core VWAP.
Core VWAP lost
Price completed the week below the core VWAP.
Buyer pressure established
The completed control reading moved into positive territory.
Core VWAP reclaimed
Price completed the week back above the core VWAP.
Core VWAP lost
Price completed the week below the core VWAP.
VWAP structure turned higher
The fast VWAP crossed above the core VWAP.
Core VWAP test held
Price traded through the core VWAP but recovered above it by the completed close.
Next-State Map
Next-State Map
Historical one-week transition paths from similar completed-week states.
SMI
Proprietary completed-week evidence
SMI
See whether the underlying conditions beneath price are strengthening, weakening or holding firm.
Current SMI readUnderlying support is strong and still improving
Price and SMI are not presenting a decisive combined message. The latest reading is based on completed weekly evidence.
0.91 · Strong
Current stateStrong · 0.91
Latest completed-week SMI reading
DirectionImproving
How the completed SMI path is changing
PersistenceDeveloping
6 completed weeks in the current state
Price relationshipMixed relationship
Price and SMI are not presenting a decisive combined message.
Price and SMI transitions
Where underlying support changed
Annotations identify selected completed SMI state changes.
Weekly CloseTrend LineFair ValueActivity Lines
SMI pathDirection, persistence and turning points
SMI 0.91 · Strong
ImprovingHolding steadyWeakening
SMI in context
Comparable SMI states have produced mixed historical outcomes
Across 47 comparable completed observations, 57.4% closed higher after 13 weeks. The median move was +3.0%.
Comparable observations
47
Completed historical readings
Positive outcomes
57.4%
After 13 completed weeks
Median move
+3.0%
Over the following 13 weeks
Versus normal baseline
+2.2 pts
Difference in positive outcome rate
Chart Summary
Key Points
Week Ending
28 Aug 2026
Latest Close
142.91
12-Week Change
-4.06%
Trend Signal
Active
Next-Week Expectancy
Undecided 46.62%
Signal Weeks
12 of 12
Vs Trend Line
Above
Vs Fair Value
Above
Relative Strength
-6.96
Market Dynamics
0.09
Over the latest 12 completed weeks ending 2026-08-28, EXR fell 4.06%, moving from 148.95 to 142.91. The latest weekly close is above the Trend Line and above Fair Value. Trend Signal is active on the latest week and was active in 12 of the last 12 weeks. Relative Strength is -6.96 and has softened across the 12-week window. Market Dynamics is 0.09 on the latest week. Next-week expectancy is undecided at 46.62% based on similar historical setup states.
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