of reported contract volume sits at the 16 Oct 26 expiry. A concentrated expiry deserves a closer look at event dates.
RESEARCH / OPTIONS
Options session6 Oct 20261914 stored contracts
Checking for a newer reading. Your saved analysis remains available below and will update automatically.
Activity balance
Balanced
Options do not give a clear directional confirmation of the stock trend. Weekly price context: 2026-10-02.
Since 5 Oct 2026
Options balance-4.7 points
Stock reference-7.0%
Priced move-1.1 pp
Coverage note Older session: use this as a saved reading.
- Stock reference
- 343.14USD
- Put / call volume
- 1.13
- Volume / open interest
- 0.04×
- Reference IV
- 72.2%Annualised
- Priced move
- ±6.7%To 9 Oct 2026
Earlier saved readingOptions dated 6 Oct 2026
Collected 7 Oct, 08:21 BSTThe shape of the options market
Read the chain at a glance.
Near-money quoted volatility for 09 Oct 26 compared with 19 Jan 29. Higher near-term pricing can reflect event uncertainty; it does not identify the cause.
1,362 of 1,914 unexpired retained contracts have positive, ordered quotes with a spread no wider than half their midpoint. This is a quote check, not a promise of execution.
How much movement is priced?
Each line shows the quoted move around the same stock reference, through that expiry.
Wider lines mean a larger priced move, not greater confidence. Each expiry has its own time horizon. No probability is assigned to these ranges.
Where are positions concentrated?
Darker cells mark more reported contracts. Select a cell, or use the arrow keys, to explore its value.
Up to 10 expiries and 16 displayed strikes, selected from the retained chain. Blank cells mean no observation; they are not zero. Large positions can be hedges or parts of spreads.
A closer look at sensitivity
Gamma, mapped.
Find the strikes and expiries where option sensitivity is concentrated.
Calls are positive and puts negative in this comparison. These signs do not identify who holds the options.
What if the stock moves?
Recalculate sensitivity at different stock prices, holding volatility and time fixed.
Where does sensitivity expire?
Combined call and put sensitivity by expiry. Larger bars mark more of the measured exposure.
Dated sensitivities for the first 12 available expiries, not a forecast of how they decay. Positions and prices can change before expiry.
How to read the map · coverage and assumptions
Colour shows size and side
In “Calls − puts”, green means the measured call sensitivity is larger; rose means the put sensitivity is larger. Combined sensitivity adds both sides. Long calls and long puts both have positive gamma.
These figures do not reveal dealer inventory, buying or selling, a price magnet, or a guaranteed support or resistance level.
A dated, standard-contract estimate
Dollar sensitivity = gamma × open interest × 100 shares × stock price² × 1%. Reported gamma is used when available; otherwise a European model uses checked quoted volatility with zero rate and dividends. Known non-standard contracts and same-day expiries are excluded. Unspecified contract sizes assume 100 shares.
Open interest and quotes can have different update times. Blank cells are unavailable, not zero.
Volatility, activity and trading costs
Three more ways to read the chain.
Where is uncertainty priced higher?
Annualised quoted volatility. Colour compares the available contracts; it does not show the chance of a move.
Does trading focus match open interest?
Each expiry’s share of reported volume and open interest. Compare the two bars, then check the counts.
How wide are the quotes?
Median spread as a percentage of the midpoint, including wide quotes. Lower means less distance between bid and ask.
Is downside protection priced more highly?
Put and call volatility near 5% either side of the stock reference, matched within one percentage point of distance for each expiry.
Higher put volatility means the downside option carries a higher volatility price at these strikes. It does not by itself predict a falling stock price.
Inside the chain
Where activity sits
Open interest by strike
Nearest expiry · puts to the left, calls to the right. Both sides use the same scale.
Calls versus puts
Share of volume and open interest in the stored chain.
Volume by expiry
Which dates account for the trading activity.
Concentrations are reference levels, not established support or resistance.
Through 9 Oct 2026
Move priced by options
Lower reference320.26
Stock reference343.14
Upper reference366.02
USD · Usable near-money quotes support an IV estimate; a two-sided straddle is unavailable. This estimates move size, not direction or a guaranteed trading range.
How volatility is priced
Annualised implied volatilityVolatility across expiries
Near-money IV for each available expiry.
Volatility across strikes
Call and put IV at the nearest expiry. Gaps are not interpolated.
Before reading a signal
Can the quotes support the analysis?
Quote coverage by expiry
Checked quotes versus other retained contracts. Missing, crossed, zero-bid and widely spread quotes are excluded from priced scenarios.
Turn a reading into questions
Three paths to watch.
The reading strengthens
Price and activity agree
- A clear directional pressure reading develops and price begins to agree.
Price stays near its level
Time becomes more important
Compare the cost of waiting with the move already reflected in premiums. A quiet stock can still have expensive options.
Explore a range scenario →The reading weakens
Check what stops agreeing
- Volatility falls and the chain remains directionally mixed.
- Options and the weekly trend are not yet giving the same message.
Explore the possibilities
One view. Every trade-off.
Choose an outlook, then move the stock price. The chart shows what you pay, where you break even, and what you can gain or lose.
Same position. Different paths.
Estimated profit or loss as price and remaining time change. Columns are scenarios, not probabilities.
What moves this position?
Modelled sensitivity for the entire position at the reference price. Change an input and see how the balance changes.
Expiry profit or loss follows the entered legs. Earlier values use a European option model with constant volatility and the stated rate and dividend yield. US stock options can be exercised early; assignment, changing volatility and execution prices can change actual results.
Inside the position
Edit strikes and premiums to test your own assumptionsContract activity
Most active contracts
| Contract | Side | Expiry | Strike | Volume ↓ | Open interest | IV | Bid | Ask |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DAVE261218P00320000 | Put | 18 Dec 26 | 320.00 | 181 | 4,060 | 70.8% | 26.80 | 33.40 |
| DAVE261016C00500000 | Call | 16 Oct 26 | 500.00 | 140 | 8 | 71.7% | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| DAVE261016C00490000 | Call | 16 Oct 26 | 490.00 | 120 | 1 | 67.8% | 0.00 | 1.80 |
| DAVE261023P00280000 | Put | 23 Oct 26 | 280.00 | 44 | 2 | 64.9% | 0.70 | 2.00 |
| DAVE261009P00305000 | Put | 9 Oct 26 | 305.00 | 30 | 17 | 46.4% | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| DAVE261009P00297500 | Put | 9 Oct 26 | 297.50 | 30 | 0 | 55.1% | 0.00 | 1.25 |
| DAVE261016P00322500 | Put | 16 Oct 26 | 322.50 | 24 | 0 | 63.9% | 3.10 | 8.90 |
| DAVE261113P00235000 | Put | 13 Nov 26 | 235.00 | 24 | 0 | 80.5% | 1.25 | 3.30 |
| DAVE261009C00440000 | Call | 9 Oct 26 | 440.00 | 21 | 1 | 89.3% | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| DAVE290119C00300000 | Call | 19 Jan 29 | 300.00 | 20 | 20 | 74.7% | 165.00 | 171.40 |
Volume and open interest are contract counts. IV is annualised. A dash means the value was not supplied; zero is a reported value.
Options balance over time
Session history →Saved pressure readings
Dated readings using the same calculation version. Positive is call-heavy; negative is put-heavy.
Gamma sensitivity Modelled scenario
Sensitivity by strike
Estimated delta change for a 1% stock move, expressed in dollars.
Scenario proxy = gamma × open interest × 100 shares × spot² × 1%. Calls are positive and puts negative by convention. Missing Greeks use a Black-Scholes estimate from stored IV with zero rate and dividend assumptions. Open interest does not reveal who is long or short, so this is not observed dealer positioning or a forecast.
A reading needs context
What has changed over time?
Volatility through saved sessions
Annualised reference IV. The available strikes and nearest expiry may change between readings; this is not a constant-maturity series.
Activity relative to outstanding positions
Session volume divided by open interest. A rising ratio means more turnover relative to outstanding contracts, not necessarily new positions.
Outcome record Completed observations only
Stock-price direction through expiry, using the first available weekly close on or just after expiry. These are not option-trade returns.
| Record | Followed direction | Always up | Always down | 95% interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Recorded in advance Too few independent outcomes to establish an edge. | 0 / 1 | 100% | 0% | 0–79% |
| Earlier saved readings Too few independent outcomes to establish an edge. | 4 / 6 | 33% | 67% | 30–90% |
Earlier saved readings are reviewed retrospectively, separately from readings recorded in advance. Overlapping periods are excluded. The comparison uses the same stocks and dates; costs and option execution are not tested.
Read the picture
Options, in plain sight.
01 Price is only part of the story
A call can lose value even when the stock rises. The rise may be too small, time may run out, or implied volatility may fall. Use the lab to hold price steady and change days or volatility.
Price movement+Time remaining+Volatility→Option value
02 Volume is activity, not intent
Volume counts contracts traded during a session. Every transaction has a buyer and a seller. Call-heavy activity alone does not tell us who initiated the trade or whether it was part of a hedge.
Buyer⇄One contract traded⇄Seller
03 Open interest is an outstanding position
Open interest counts contracts still outstanding, usually reported after clearing. A busy session does not necessarily create new positions. A large concentration at a strike is a place to investigate, not a guaranteed support or resistance level.
04 A priced move has no direction
A near-money call and put can describe the cost of exposure to a move in either direction. The displayed range is a pricing reference. It is neither a price target nor a fixed probability interval.
Lower reference←Stock price→Upper reference
05 A high IV needs a comparison
Implied volatility describes the movement reflected in option prices, expressed as an annualised percentage. Compare the same stock across expiries, strikes and dated history. A high value alone does not prove an option is expensive.
06 The spread is part of the cost
The bid is the quoted selling price; the ask is the quoted buying price. Their difference matters, especially on a position with several legs. A midpoint is an estimate, not an assured fill. Saved-quote playbooks buy at the ask and sell at the bid.
Bid · sell← spread →Ask · buy
Learn more: OIC: understanding the Greeks ↗ · OIC: strategy reference ↗