The evidence is balanced enough to avoid a defensive call, but not aligned enough for aggressive positioning.
50
technical evidence
out of 100
out of 100
Week Ending: 11 September 2026
Indonesia ID Sector
Consumer Defensive
For the week ending 11 September 2026, Consumer Defensive advanced 0.77% with 39 advancing, 64 declining, and 15 unchanged constituents. The index is equal weighted and built from country-listed equities.
Current architecture
Unresolved
The Activity Lines, Trend Line and price acceptance remain genuinely mixed.
50
technical evidence
Index1430.56
1 week0.77%
Breadth33%
Members118
Country
🇮🇩 Indonesia · ID
Universe
country-listed
Price basis
Adjusted weekly close
Trend architecture
Index, activity fan and structural anchors
Rolling 156-week evidence. Trend Signal points mark weeks when price, trend and the activity fan confirmed together.
Index Value
Trend Line
Fair Value
Activity Lines
Constructive architecture
Transitional architecture
Defensive architecture
Current architecture
Unresolved
10 completed weeks in this state
Trend acceptance
5.1%
Index versus Trend Line
Persistence
75%
Positive regime, horizons divided
Participation
33%
39 advancing, 64 declining
Investor positioning lens
Is the evidence ready for capital?
A rules-based technical classification using trend, breadth, persistence, relative strength and path quality.
Evidence balance
Wait
Five-pillar map
Trend
42
Breadth
34
Persistence
50
Relative
73
Risk quality
78
What supports the view
- Medium-term relative returns and peer standing remain constructive.
What restrains conviction
- Index trend architecture has not delivered a durable upward expansion.
- Breadth remains too narrow or inconsistent for a high-conviction position.
- Constituent persistence remains divided or predominantly negative.
- The current 13-week parent-relative trend is weakening.
- Stage 4 declining constituents exceed Stage 2 advancing constituents by 23 percentage points.
- The index is extended well above current Fair Value, increasing chase risk.
This is a weekly research classification, not personal investment advice. Sentiment is reported as an independent confirmation layer and does not alter the technical score.
Trend state and durability
Architecture, persistence and constituent regimes
The index path is tested against the underlying security-level trend evidence.
The Activity Lines, Trend Line and price acceptance remain genuinely mixed.
State age10 weeks
Trend gateMixed
Fan width4.99%
Fast versus slow change3.49 pts
Above 100%
Below 0%
Six completed weeks of price acceptance relative to the full Activity Line fan.
Index persistence
75% agreement
Positive regime, horizons divided
The 52-week trend is positive, although not every measured horizon confirms it.
13-week
16.0%
26-week
5.0%
39-week
-5.1%
52-week
9.0%
Constituent trend persistence
98% coverage
Is the index move broadly durable?
46%positive
Coherent positive18%
Coherent negative12%
Average horizon agreement74%
Positive horizon share48%
Weakening positives6
Repairing negatives30
116 constituents measured as of 11 Sep 2026. Median trend age is 18 weeks.
Custom stage map
95% coverage
Where constituents sit in the cycle
42%Stage 4
Stage 1 · Basing30%34 securities
Stage 2 · Advancing19%21 securities
Stage 3 · Distribution9%10 securities
Stage 4 · Declining42%47 securities
Re-acceleration watch1
Transition watch20
Relative strength leaders38%
Fair Value repairs12
Measured as of 11 Sep 2026. Stages summarize price, Activity Line architecture, Fair Value position and relative evidence.
Architecture breadth
75/100 mean confidence
How market energy is distributed
Architecture breadth shows the distribution of expanding, rotating, balancing and contracting securities. It is diagnostic context and is not added as a second vote in the positioning score.
Capital rotation
Performance relative to ID Market Structure
Relative index
13-week relative trend
Starting level
A rising relative line means this group is compounding faster than ID Market Structure. A falling line means capital has done better in the parent benchmark.
Relative index105.8
13-week trend106.1
4-week trend change0.20%
Weekly peer rank2 of 11
1 week
0.6 pts
relative
4 weeks
0.7 pts
relative
13 weeks
0.6 pts
relative
26 weeks
0.8 pts
relative
52 weeks
2.8 pts
relative
Market internals
Participation, dispersion and path risk
Equal-weight index evidence with constituent-level breadth and dispersion.
Breadth
Narrow
Participation quality
33%
advanced
- Advancing
- 39
- Declining
- 64
- Unchanged
- 15
Risk and persistence
52-week lens
Path quality
Annualised weekly volatility22.8%
Drawdown from 52-week high-11.7%
Positive weeks, last 1385%
Current directional run4 weeks
Turnover versus 13-week norm262%
Breadth impulse-16.2 pts
Cross-section
118 measured
Return distribution
Q1 -2.7%
Median -0.8%
Q3 1.1%
Average winner8.5%
Average loser-3.6%
Dispersion8.7 pts
Top-five upside share44%
Top-five capital share33%
Capital data coverage100%
Dispersion describes how far constituent outcomes are spreading apart. Capital concentration is contextual only; the index itself is equal weighted.
Momentum cycle
30-week persistence
Positive readings show expansion. Negative readings show contraction.
Breadth cycle
Net participation
Advancers less decliners as a percentage of measured constituents.
Industry map
Where sector leadership is forming
Performance, breadth and trend acceptance across every qualified industry.
5/9
positive
Above Trend Line5/956% of industries
Constructive breadth2/9At least half advancing
Median industry0.17%4.11 pts dispersion
#1
Repairing
Education & Training Services
10.17%
Participation67%
vs Trend-4.0%
vs Fair Value-15.4%
Members3
#2
Narrowing
Household & Personal Products
5.75%
Participation33%
vs Trend13.9%
vs Fair Value38.9%
Members9
#3
Narrowing
Farm Products
0.84%
Participation38%
vs Trend10.9%
vs Fair Value58.0%
Members42
#4
Advancing
Beverages - Non-Alcoholic
0.75%
Participation100%
vs Trend3.9%
vs Fair Value48.8%
Members4
#5
Narrowing
Packaged Foods
0.17%
Participation33%
vs Trend3.0%
vs Fair Value7.7%
Members42
#6
Contracting
Food Distribution
-1.25%
Participation0%
vs Trend-2.8%
vs Fair Value-9.9%
Members4
#7
Narrowing
Tobacco
-1.89%
Participation0%
vs Trend3.1%
vs Fair Value5.5%
Members4
#8
Contracting
Grocery Stores
-2.84%
Participation0%
vs Trend-5.8%
vs Fair Value-31.1%
Members3
#9
Contracting
Beverages - Brewers
-3.04%
Participation0%
vs Trend-7.0%
vs Fair Value-9.1%
Members3
News and narrative
Does company news confirm the market tape?
Sentiment evidence is still developing
Qualified company-level news coverage is not yet broad enough to influence the group view.
0 qualified records across 118 measured constituents.Leadership tape
Leaders, laggards and contribution shape
Latest completed week, ranked on uncapped constituent returns.
Constituent ledger
Sector constituents
Top 100 of 118 shown, ranked by latest weekly return.
Rank
Ticker
Company
Exchange
Market cap
Close
Index contribution
Return
The index uses capped equal-weight weekly constituent returns. The ledger shows uncapped security returns so outliers remain visible for research.