Ticker Options Intelligence

ACLS options intelligence

Axcelis Technologies Inc options pressure, expected move, strike concentration, and Sharemaestro trend context.

Conviction 53 Market data through 31 Jul 2026 Checked 1 Aug 2026 18:10 · complete available chain

Volatility expansion watch

Volatility pressure

ACLS currently carries volatility options pressure with a 53/100 conviction score. The nearest-chain expected move is 20.2%, with volume/open-interest participation at 0.05.

Options Intelligence Opportunities Bullish confirmation Risks Unusual flow Vol expansion Repeated pressure Compare Chart Weekly report
Primary read Volatility

Volatility expansion watch

Expected move 20.2%

Wider near-term move priced

Activity / OI 0.05

Current volume is quieter versus prior open interest

Put-call 0.36

Call-side skew

Trend fit 42

Options are not fully confirming trend

Weekly backdrop -2.8%

RS 14.6

Expected move 20.2%
Put-call volume 0.36
Volume / OI 0.05
Reference IV 1.06
Max pain 145.00
Underlying 130.38
Nearest expiry 21 Aug 2026
Contracts 380

Research Brief

ACLS has a volatility chain read with 53/100 evidence alignment.

The practical question is whether the underlying confirms the options concentration. The chain prices a reference range of 104.08–156.68; The largest call open-interest concentration is 250.00; the largest put concentration is 140.00. The most active strike by current volume is 190.00.

Priced range104.08–156.68
Call concentration250.00
Put concentration140.00
Max pain reference145.00
What would confirm it
  • A clear directional pressure reading develops and price begins to agree.
What would weaken it
  • Volatility falls and the chain remains directionally mixed.
  • Options and the weekly trend are not yet giving the same message.
  • Front-expiry volatility is rich, so the signal may be event-driven and vulnerable to volatility compression.

Priced Move

Where the chain says movement becomes exceptional

Size, not direction · through 21 Aug

Options imply 104.08 to 156.68. Max pain at 145.00 sits inside that range, 11.2% above spot.

Spot Max pain
104.08130.38 ± 26.30156.68
Confirmation level

A close beyond 156.68 or below 104.08 at the 21 Aug expiry would exceed the move currently priced by this chain.

Important limitation

The range is a pricing reference, not a forecast; volatility can reprice sharply after news or as expiry approaches.

Score Construction

Why conviction is 53/100

Evidence alignment, not probability

Pressure is 55/100 toward calls; conviction uses its strength, while the signal label carries its direction.

Directional pressure55 × 42%
+22.9

How strongly activity leans toward calls or puts.

Participation41 × 22%
+9.1

Volume relative to existing open interest and contract-level activity.

Trend agreement42 × 26%
+11.0

How closely the chain read agrees with the underlying trend backdrop.

Volatility96 × 10%
+9.6

The intensity of implied volatility and the priced move.

Reconstructed score52.6Matches stored calculation

Positioning by Strike

Where open interest and current activity concentrate

Full strike map

The largest call open-interest concentration is 250.00; the largest put concentration is 140.00. The most active strike by current volume is 190.00. Open-interest concentrations show where positions exist; they are not proven support, resistance or dealer exposure.

Put open interestStrikeCall open interest
81
90.00-31.0%
10
30
110.00-15.6%
47
31
115.00-11.8%
36
37
130.00-0.3%
45
44
135.003.5%
54
167
140.007.4%
23
61
145.0011.2%
53
105
160.0022.7%
31
13
165.0026.6%
69
18
170.0030.4%
52
87
175.0034.2%
42
16
180.0038.1%
97
0
220.0068.7%
111
51
230.0076.4%
54
0
240.0084.1%
95
0
250.0091.7%
2029
0
260.0099.4%
345
Nearest spot strike Max pain strikeBars show relative OI within this expiry

Volatility Curve

Front-loaded volatility

1.22× front/back

Near-term options are materially richer than later expirations, consistent with concentrated event or immediate-risk pricing.

1.06 21 Aug 21d
0.95 18 Sep 49d
0.93 20 Nov 112d
0.90 18 Dec 140d
0.87 19 Mar 231d

Volatility by Strike

Balanced wings

Nearest expiry, within 20% of spot

Comparable upside calls and downside puts carry broadly similar implied volatility.

105
110
115
120
125
130
135
140
145
150
155
Put IV Call IV

Historical Replay

How matured reads behaved through expiry

0 directional observations

Forward validation is building. The earliest eligible stored read expires 21 Aug 2026; its result will appear after the matched closing reference is stored.

Directional follow-through-
Moves contained by pricing-
Average expiry move-
Validation readiness
  • Versioned calculationv2 observations only
  • Independent entryone read per market session
  • Point-in-time referencerequired at entry
  • Matched expiry closereported only after maturity

Only v2 snapshots with a point-in-time market reference are eligible. Each observation uses one read per market session and the first weekly close on or immediately after expiry. It is an evidence audit, not an executable strategy or evidence of future performance.

Evidence Quality

High

A100/100
Retained chain100%
Implied volatility100%
Two-sided quotes100%
Open interest100%
Chain status
Complete available chain
Market date
31 Jul 2026
Calculation
v2.0
Contracts
380 / 380
  • No material coverage gap was detected in the retained chain.

Aggregate chain data supports concentration, participation and pricing analysis. It does not identify trade aggressor, opening versus closing activity, multi-leg intent or dealer inventory.

Options Intent Radar

Earnings/event positioning

86/100
Primary intent Earnings/event positioning

Options activity is concentrated around a live event window, so the cleanest read is event positioning rather than pure direction.

Flow vs price divergence Volatility flow versus price

Options are pricing movement more than direction; compare expected move with the stock's actual weekly change.

Why this matters

Earnings/event positioning matters because it connects the options headline to the actual evidence: $634742 of estimated gross traded notional, calls · 91+ days · otm, and a volatility flow versus price backdrop. Use it as a research priority signal, then validate the chart, liquidity, event calendar, and risk before acting.

Options pressure+55
1W price-2.8%
Call premium79%
Put premium21%
Notional split C 79% / P 21% Estimated gross traded notional uses volume × contract multiplier × midpoint, or last price when no valid midpoint is available.
Freshness 0.05 Volume divided by open interest across the visible chain.
Trend fit 42/100 Agreement between options pressure and Sharemaestro market context.
Event window 4 Aug Matched earnings event is 2 days away.
Aggregate chain data does not identify trade aggressor or opening versus closing activity; call/put concentration is not proof of market direction.
Conviction clusters Calls · 91+ days · OTM
Calls · 91+ days · OTM calls cluster with 259 contracts traded, $446730 estimated gross traded notional, and 70% of visible notional.
$446730
Puts · 46-90 days · OTM puts cluster with 100 contracts traded, $107780 estimated gross traded notional, and 17% of visible notional.
$107780
Calls · 46-90 days · OTM calls cluster with 37 contracts traded, $31440 estimated gross traded notional, and 5% of visible notional.
$31440
Calls · 8-21 days · OTM calls cluster with 34 contracts traded, $12857 estimated gross traded notional, and 2% of visible notional.
$12857
Puts · 8-21 days · ITM puts cluster with 4 contracts traded, $10560 estimated gross traded notional, and 2% of visible notional.
$10560

Setup Classification

Opportunity and risk frame

Context, not advice
Warning Volatility expansion

The tape is pricing or displaying unusually elevated activity.

Warning Event-risk setup

Expected move or upcoming earnings makes the setup more event-sensitive.

Activity Anomaly

Warming up

-

3 of 10 completed market sessions are available. More session history is needed before activity can be compared with a reliable normal.

Baseline: 3 completed sessions

Volume rank-
Volume/OI rank-
IV rank-

Market Context

Underlying confirmation

Sharemaestro weekly
Close130.38
1W-2.8%
RS14.6
Fair value+25.6%
Options pressure55
Speculation41
Volatility96
Trend fit42

Today Versus Normal

Stored-options context

View history
Expected move 20.2% history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -
IV 1.06 history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -
Put-call 0.36 history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -
Volume/OI 0.05 history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -

Pressure Trail

Recent pressure and volatility

Open trail
29 Jul 10:41 Volatility
Pressure -13
Move 22.1%
30 Jul 07:53 Mixed
Pressure 3
Move 23.4%
31 Jul 10:15 Volatility
Pressure 34
Move 20.4%
31 Jul 21:48 Volatility
Pressure 51
Move 20.2%
1 Aug 01:47 Volatility
Pressure 55
Move 20.2%
1 Aug 17:10 Volatility
Pressure 55
Move 20.2%

Strike Map

Where activity is clustering

Full strike map
Strike40.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 2
Puts · V 0 · OI 2
Strike45.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 9
Strike50.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 1
Puts · V 0 · OI 4
Strike55.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 1
Puts · V 0 · OI 9
Strike60.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 20
Strike65.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 25
Strike70.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 11
Puts · V 0 · OI 11
Strike75.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 12
Puts · V 0 · OI 14

Term Structure

Expiration activity

Volume and IV
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Contracts82
Avg IV1.06
Put-call0.42
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Contracts82
Avg IV0.95
Put-call2.78
Expiry20 Nov 2026
Contracts82
Avg IV0.93
Put-call0.01
Expiry18 Dec 2026
Contracts74
Avg IV0.90
Put-call-
Expiry19 Mar 2027
Contracts60
Avg IV0.87
Put-call-

Skew

Call/put IV balance

OTM demand
21 Aug 2026Balanced skew
Call IV1.06
Put IV1.07
Skew0.01
18 Sep 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.95
Put IV0.98
Skew0.03
20 Nov 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.92
Put IV0.93
Skew0.01
18 Dec 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.91
Put IV0.89
Skew-0.02
19 Mar 2027Balanced skew
Call IV0.88
Put IV0.86
Skew-0.02

Contract Tape

Most active contracts

Full contract tape
ContractACLS261120C00135000
SideCall
Expiry20 Nov 2026
Strike135.00
Volume136
OI7
IV0.93
ContractACLS261120C00230000
SideCall
Expiry20 Nov 2026
Strike230.00
Volume101
OI-
IV0.92
ContractACLS260918P00120000
SidePut
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike120.00
Volume66
OI11
IV0.97
ContractACLS260918P00105000
SidePut
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike105.00
Volume34
OI8
IV0.99
ContractACLS260918C00160000
SideCall
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike160.00
Volume31
OI184
IV0.97
ContractACLS260821C00190000
SideCall
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike190.00
Volume13
OI6
IV0.53
ContractACLS260821P00080000
SidePut
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike80.00
Volume10
OI23
IV1.18
ContractACLS260821C00185000
SideCall
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike185.00
Volume10
OI4
IV1.18