Ticker Options Intelligence

AMTB options intelligence

Amerant Bancorp Inc. options pressure, expected move, strike concentration, and Sharemaestro trend context.

Conviction 39 Market data through 29 Jul 2026 Checked 30 Jul 2026 12:01 · complete available chain

Call-side pressure

Bullish pressure

AMTB currently carries bullish options pressure with a 39/100 conviction score. The nearest-chain expected move is 9.2%, with volume/open-interest participation at 0.08.

Options Intelligence Opportunities Bullish confirmation Risks Unusual flow Vol expansion Repeated pressure Compare Chart Weekly report
Primary read Bullish

Call-side pressure

Expected move 9.2%

Wider near-term move priced

Activity / OI 0.08

Current volume is quieter versus prior open interest

Put-call 0.50

Call-side skew

Trend fit 64

Options agree with trend context

Weekly backdrop +8.9%

RS 24.8

Expected move 9.2%
Put-call volume 0.50
Volume / OI 0.08
Reference IV 0.37
Max pain 25.00
Underlying 28.50
Nearest expiry 21 Aug 2026
Contracts 62

Research Brief

AMTB has a bullish chain read with 39/100 evidence alignment.

The practical question is whether the underlying confirms the options concentration. The chain prices a reference range of 25.89–31.11; The largest call open-interest concentration is 30.00; the largest put concentration is 25.00. The most active strike by current volume is 12.50.

Priced range25.89–31.11
Call concentration30.00
Put concentration25.00
Max pain reference25.00
What would confirm it
  • Price holds or improves while call-side concentration remains elevated.
  • The current chain read already agrees with the stored weekly trend context.
What would weaken it
  • Price weakens while call pressure fades or reverses toward puts.
  • Front-expiry volatility is rich, so the signal may be event-driven and vulnerable to volatility compression.

Priced Move

Where the chain says movement becomes exceptional

Size, not direction · through 21 Aug

Options imply 25.89 to 31.11. Max pain at 25.00 lies outside the priced range, so it is a weak near-term anchor.

Spot Max pain
25.8928.50 ± 2.6131.11
Confirmation level

A close beyond 31.11 or below 25.89 at the 21 Aug expiry would exceed the move currently priced by this chain.

Important limitation

The range is a pricing reference, not a forecast; volatility can reprice sharply after news or as expiry approaches.

Score Construction

Why conviction is 39/100

Evidence alignment, not probability

Pressure is 37/100 toward calls; conviction uses its strength, while the signal label carries its direction.

Directional pressure37 × 42%
+15.7

How strongly activity leans toward calls or puts.

Participation3 × 22%
+0.6

Volume relative to existing open interest and contract-level activity.

Trend agreement64 × 26%
+16.7

How closely the chain read agrees with the underlying trend backdrop.

Volatility63 × 10%
+6.3

The intensity of implied volatility and the priced move.

Reconstructed score39.3Matches stored calculation

Positioning by Strike

Where open interest and current activity concentrate

Full strike map

The largest call open-interest concentration is 30.00; the largest put concentration is 25.00. The most active strike by current volume is 12.50. Open-interest concentrations show where positions exist; they are not proven support, resistance or dealer exposure.

Put open interestStrikeCall open interest
0
12.50-56.1%
0
0
15.00-47.4%
0
0
17.50-38.6%
0
0
20.00-29.8%
0
0
22.50-21.1%
0
1
25.00-12.3%
2
0
30.005.3%
5
0
35.0022.8%
0
Nearest spot strike Max pain strikeBars show relative OI within this expiry

Volatility Curve

Front-loaded volatility

1.43× front/back

Near-term options are materially richer than later expirations, consistent with concentrated event or immediate-risk pricing.

0.37 21 Aug 22d
0.32 18 Sep 50d
0.27 16 Oct 78d
0.26 15 Jan 169d

Volatility by Strike

Downside protection premium

Nearest expiry, within 20% of spot

Out-of-the-money puts carry higher implied volatility than comparable calls, indicating richer downside protection.

25
30
Put IV Call IV

Historical Replay

How matured reads behaved through expiry

0 directional observations

No independently verifiable option-expiry outcomes have matured yet. Legacy snapshots without a point-in-time market reference and repeated same-session snapshots are deliberately excluded.

Directional follow-through-
Moves contained by pricing-
Average expiry move-
Validation readiness
  • Versioned calculationv2 observations only
  • Independent entryone read per market session
  • Point-in-time referencerequired at entry
  • Matched expiry closereported only after maturity

Only v2 snapshots with a point-in-time market reference are eligible. Each observation uses one read per market session and the first weekly close on or immediately after expiry. It is an evidence audit, not an executable strategy or evidence of future performance.

Evidence Quality

Usable with limits

C69/100
Retained chain100%
Implied volatility100%
Two-sided quotes100%
Open interest100%
Chain status
Complete available chain
Market date
29 Jul 2026
Calculation
v1.x legacy
Contracts
62 / 62
  • No material coverage gap was detected in the retained chain.

Aggregate chain data supports concentration, participation and pricing analysis. It does not identify trade aggressor, opening versus closing activity, multi-leg intent or dealer inventory.

Options Intent Radar

Call-heavy activity with trend alignment

80/100
Primary intent Call-heavy activity with trend alignment

Call concentration and the underlying trend align, but aggregate volume cannot establish whether calls were bought or sold.

Flow vs price divergence Bullish flow confirms price

Options pressure and weekly price action are pointing in the same constructive direction.

Why this matters

Call-heavy activity with trend alignment matters because it connects the options headline to the actual evidence: $1605 of estimated gross traded notional, calls · 46-90 days · itm, and a bullish flow confirms price backdrop. Use it as a research priority signal, then validate the chart, liquidity, event calendar, and risk before acting.

Options pressure+37
1W price+8.9%
Call premium69%
Put premium31%
Notional split C 69% / P 31% Estimated gross traded notional uses volume × contract multiplier × midpoint, or last price when no valid midpoint is available.
Freshness 0.08 Volume divided by open interest across the visible chain.
Trend fit 64/100 Agreement between options pressure and Sharemaestro market context.
Aggregate chain data does not identify trade aggressor or opening versus closing activity; call/put concentration is not proof of market direction.
Conviction clusters Calls · 46-90 days · ITM
Calls · 46-90 days · ITM calls cluster with 1 contracts traded, $760 estimated gross traded notional, and 47% of visible notional.
$760
Puts · 46-90 days · ITM puts cluster with 2 contracts traded, $490 estimated gross traded notional, and 31% of visible notional.
$490
Calls · 46-90 days · OTM calls cluster with 2 contracts traded, $270 estimated gross traded notional, and 17% of visible notional.
$270
Calls · 91+ days · OTM calls cluster with 1 contracts traded, $85 estimated gross traded notional, and 5% of visible notional.
$85

Setup Classification

Opportunity and risk frame

Context, not advice
Warning Volatility expansion

The tape is pricing or displaying unusually elevated activity.

Warning Event-risk setup

Expected move or upcoming earnings makes the setup more event-sensitive.

Warning Bullish pressure over fair value

Call pressure is building while the stock sits above Sharemaestro fair value.

Activity Anomaly

Warming up

-

1 of 10 completed market sessions are available. More session history is needed before activity can be compared with a reliable normal.

Baseline: 1 completed session

Volume rank-
Volume/OI rank-
IV rank-

Market Context

Underlying confirmation

Sharemaestro weekly
Close28.50
1W+8.9%
RS24.8
Fair value+37.6%
Options pressure37
Speculation3
Volatility63
Trend fit64

Today Versus Normal

Stored-options context

View history
Expected move 9.2% history building
30d avg - · 1/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 1/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 1/60 sessions -
IV 0.37 history building
30d avg - · 1/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 1/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 1/60 sessions -
Put-call 0.50 history building
30d avg - · 1/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 1/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 1/60 sessions -
Volume/OI 0.08 history building
30d avg - · 1/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 1/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 1/60 sessions -

Pressure Trail

Recent pressure and volatility

Open trail
29 Jul 11:15 Bullish
Pressure 100
Move 6.3%
30 Jul 11:01 Bullish
Pressure 37
Move 9.2%

Strike Map

Where activity is clustering

Full strike map
Strike12.50
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike15.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike17.50
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike20.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike22.50
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike25.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 2
Puts · V 0 · OI 1
Strike30.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 5
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike35.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 0

Term Structure

Expiration activity

Volume and IV
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Contracts16
Avg IV0.37
Put-call-
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Contracts14
Avg IV0.32
Put-call-
Expiry16 Oct 2026
Contracts16
Avg IV0.27
Put-call1.00
Expiry15 Jan 2027
Contracts16
Avg IV0.26
Put-call-

Skew

Call/put IV balance

OTM demand
21 Aug 2026Put IV premium
Call IV0.04
Put IV0.30
Skew0.25
18 Sep 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.20
Put IV0.21
Skew0.01
16 Oct 2026Put IV premium
Call IV0.01
Put IV0.17
Skew0.16
15 Jan 2027Balanced skew
Call IV0.10
Put IV0.12
Skew0.02

Contract Tape

Most active contracts

Full contract tape
ContractAMTB261016P00030000
SidePut
Expiry16 Oct 2026
Strike30.00
Volume2
OI-
IV0.42
ContractAMTB261016C00030000
SideCall
Expiry16 Oct 2026
Strike30.00
Volume1
OI9
IV0.01
ContractAMTB260918C00022500
SideCall
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike22.50
Volume1
OI-
IV0.70
ContractAMTB270115C00035000
SideCall
Expiry15 Jan 2027
Strike35.00
Volume1
OI-
IV0.10
ContractAMTB261016C00035000
SideCall
Expiry16 Oct 2026
Strike35.00
Volume1
OI-
IV0.16
ContractAMTB261016C00025000
SideCall
Expiry16 Oct 2026
Strike25.00
Volume-
OI15
IV0.51
ContractAMTB261016P00022500
SidePut
Expiry16 Oct 2026
Strike22.50
Volume-
OI11
IV0.26
ContractAMTB261016P00025000
SidePut
Expiry16 Oct 2026
Strike25.00
Volume-
OI10
IV0.17