Ticker Options Intelligence

KO options intelligence

The Coca-Cola Company options pressure, expected move, strike concentration, and Sharemaestro trend context.

Conviction 41 Market data through 31 Jul 2026 Checked 1 Aug 2026 23:55 · complete available chain

Call-side pressure

Bullish pressure

KO currently carries bullish options pressure with a 41/100 conviction score. The nearest-chain expected move is 2.4%, with volume/open-interest participation at 0.06.

Primary read Bullish

Call-side pressure

Expected move 2.4%

Near-term move context

Activity / OI 0.06

Current volume is quieter versus prior open interest

Put-call 0.53

Call-side skew

Trend fit 62

Options agree with trend context

Weekly backdrop +6.5%

RS 9.3

Expected move 2.4%
Put-call volume 0.53
Volume / OI 0.06
Reference IV 0.21
Max pain 85.00
Underlying 87.59
Nearest expiry 7 Aug 2026
Contracts 982

Research Brief

KO has a bullish chain read with 41/100 evidence alignment.

The practical question is whether the underlying confirms the options concentration. The chain prices a reference range of 85.50–89.68; The largest call open-interest concentration is 92.00; the largest put concentration is 85.00. The most active strike by current volume is 91.00.

Priced range85.50–89.68
Call concentration92.00
Put concentration85.00
Max pain reference85.00
What would confirm it
  • Price holds or improves while call-side concentration remains elevated.
  • The current chain read already agrees with the stored weekly trend context.
What would weaken it
  • Price weakens while call pressure fades or reverses toward puts.

Priced Move

Where the chain says movement becomes exceptional

Size, not direction · through 7 Aug

Options imply 85.50 to 89.68. Max pain at 85.00 lies outside the priced range, so it is a weak near-term anchor.

Spot Max pain
85.5087.59 ± 2.0989.68
Confirmation level

A close beyond 89.68 or below 85.50 at the 7 Aug expiry would exceed the move currently priced by this chain.

Important limitation

The range is a pricing reference, not a forecast; volatility can reprice sharply after news or as expiry approaches.

Score Construction

Why conviction is 41/100

Evidence alignment, not probability

Pressure is 33/100 toward calls; conviction uses its strength, while the signal label carries its direction.

Directional pressure33 × 42%
+13.7

How strongly activity leans toward calls or puts.

Participation41 × 22%
+9.1

Volume relative to existing open interest and contract-level activity.

Trend agreement62 × 26%
+16.1

How closely the chain read agrees with the underlying trend backdrop.

Volatility25 × 10%
+2.5

The intensity of implied volatility and the priced move.

Reconstructed score41.4Matches stored calculation

Positioning by Strike

Where open interest and current activity concentrate

Full strike map

The largest call open-interest concentration is 92.00; the largest put concentration is 85.00. The most active strike by current volume is 91.00. Open-interest concentrations show where positions exist; they are not proven support, resistance or dealer exposure.

Put open interestStrikeCall open interest
319
76.00-13.2%
11
928
77.00-12.1%
23
312
78.00-10.9%
5
529
80.00-8.7%
35
230
81.00-7.5%
154
289
82.00-6.4%
2361
991
83.00-5.2%
1719
463
84.00-4.1%
535
1533
85.00-3.0%
1159
420
86.00-1.8%
472
795
87.00-0.7%
467
893
88.000.5%
936
672
89.001.6%
1008
440
90.002.8%
2550
134
91.003.9%
1407
30
92.005.0%
6090
16
94.007.3%
5480
Nearest spot strike Max pain strikeBars show relative OI within this expiry

Volatility Curve

Balanced volatility curve

0.97× front/back

Near- and longer-dated implied volatility are broadly aligned; no exceptional front-expiry premium is visible.

0.21 7 Aug 7d
0.22 14 Aug 14d
0.21 21 Aug 21d
0.21 28 Aug 28d
0.21 4 Sep 35d
0.20 11 Sep 42d
0.21 18 Sep 49d
0.21 16 Oct 77d

Volatility by Strike

Downside protection premium

Nearest expiry, within 20% of spot

Out-of-the-money puts carry higher implied volatility than comparable calls, indicating richer downside protection.

71
73
74
75
77
79
80
81
83
85
86
87
89
91
92
93
95
97
98
99
101
Put IV Call IV

Historical Replay

How matured reads behaved through expiry

0 directional observations

Forward validation is building. The earliest eligible stored read expires 31 Jul 2026; its result will appear after the matched closing reference is stored.

Directional follow-through-
Moves contained by pricing-
Average expiry move-
Validation readiness
  • Versioned calculationv2 observations only
  • Independent entryone read per market session
  • Point-in-time referencerequired at entry
  • Matched expiry closereported only after maturity

Only v2 snapshots with a point-in-time market reference are eligible. Each observation uses one read per market session and the first weekly close on or immediately after expiry. It is an evidence audit, not an executable strategy or evidence of future performance.

Evidence Quality

High

A100/100
Retained chain100%
Implied volatility100%
Two-sided quotes100%
Open interest100%
Chain status
Complete available chain
Market date
31 Jul 2026
Calculation
v2.0
Contracts
982 / 982
  • No material coverage gap was detected in the retained chain.

Aggregate chain data supports concentration, participation and pricing analysis. It does not identify trade aggressor, opening versus closing activity, multi-leg intent or dealer inventory.

Options Intent Radar

Short-dated OTM call concentration

94/100
Primary intent Short-dated OTM call concentration

Call activity is concentrated in upside and shorter-dated contracts; trade direction remains unconfirmed without aggressor data.

Flow vs price divergence Bullish flow confirms price

Options pressure and weekly price action are pointing in the same constructive direction.

Why this matters

Short-dated OTM call concentration matters because it connects the options headline to the actual evidence: $6.6M of estimated gross traded notional, puts · 0-7 days · itm, and a bullish flow confirms price backdrop. Use it as a research priority signal, then validate the chart, liquidity, event calendar, and risk before acting.

Options pressure+33
1W price+6.5%
Call premium62%
Put premium38%
Notional split C 62% / P 38% Estimated gross traded notional uses volume × contract multiplier × midpoint, or last price when no valid midpoint is available.
Freshness 0.06 Volume divided by open interest across the visible chain.
Trend fit 62/100 Agreement between options pressure and Sharemaestro market context.
Aggregate chain data does not identify trade aggressor or opening versus closing activity; call/put concentration is not proof of market direction.
Conviction clusters Puts · 0-7 days · ITM
Puts · 0-7 days · ITM puts cluster with 2385 contracts traded, $830551 estimated gross traded notional, and 13% of visible notional.
$830551
Puts · 91+ days · OTM puts cluster with 4331 contracts traded, $724756 estimated gross traded notional, and 11% of visible notional.
$724756
Calls · 91+ days · ITM calls cluster with 471 contracts traded, $707045 estimated gross traded notional, and 11% of visible notional.
$707045
Calls · 8-21 days · OTM calls cluster with 8227 contracts traded, $698630 estimated gross traded notional, and 11% of visible notional.
$698630
Calls · 91+ days · OTM calls cluster with 3577 contracts traded, $550708 estimated gross traded notional, and 8% of visible notional.
$550708

Setup Classification

Opportunity and risk frame

Context, not advice
Warning Bullish pressure over fair value

Call pressure is building while the stock sits above Sharemaestro fair value.

Activity Anomaly

Warming up

-

3 of 10 completed market sessions are available. More session history is needed before activity can be compared with a reliable normal.

Baseline: 3 completed sessions

Volume rank-
Volume/OI rank-
IV rank-

Market Context

Underlying confirmation

Sharemaestro weekly
Close87.59
1W+6.5%
RS9.3
Fair value+34.5%
Options pressure33
Speculation41
Volatility25
Trend fit62

Today Versus Normal

Stored-options context

View history
Expected move 2.4% history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -
IV 0.21 history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -
Put-call 0.53 history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -
Volume/OI 0.06 history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -

Pressure Trail

Recent pressure and volatility

Open trail
29 Jul 14:40 Mixed
Pressure 14
Move 10.3%
29 Jul 14:40 Mixed
Pressure 14
Move 10.3%
29 Jul 15:04 Volatility
Pressure 23
Move 10.4%
29 Jul 15:24 Bullish
Pressure 23
Move 10.0%
29 Jul 15:46 Bullish
Pressure 21
Move 10.2%
29 Jul 16:10 Bullish
Pressure 23
Move 10.2%
29 Jul 16:31 Volatility
Pressure 22
Move 10.1%
29 Jul 16:53 Bullish
Pressure 23
Move 9.6%

Strike Map

Where activity is clustering

Full strike map
Strike45.00
Calls · V 5 · OI 10
Puts · V 0 · OI 1
Strike50.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 6
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike55.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 9
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike60.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 4
Puts · V 0 · OI 9
Strike65.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 1
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike69.00
Calls · V 2 · OI 3
Puts · V 0 · OI 90
Strike70.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 8
Puts · V 0 · OI 70
Strike71.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 1
Puts · V 0 · OI 8

Term Structure

Expiration activity

Volume and IV
Expiry7 Aug 2026
Contracts76
Avg IV0.21
Put-call0.89
Expiry14 Aug 2026
Contracts76
Avg IV0.22
Put-call0.47
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Contracts92
Avg IV0.21
Put-call0.12
Expiry28 Aug 2026
Contracts74
Avg IV0.21
Put-call0.21
Expiry4 Sep 2026
Contracts74
Avg IV0.21
Put-call1.36

Skew

Call/put IV balance

OTM demand
7 Aug 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.23
Put IV0.22
Skew-0.01
14 Aug 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.22
Put IV0.22
Skew-
21 Aug 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.22
Put IV0.22
Skew-
28 Aug 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.21
Put IV0.22
Skew0.01
4 Sep 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.20
Put IV0.22
Skew0.02

Contract Tape

Most active contracts

Full contract tape
ContractKO260821C00090000
SideCall
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike90.00
Volume6871
OI10030
IV0.22
ContractKO260807P00091000
SidePut
Expiry7 Aug 2026
Strike91.00
Volume2327
OI134
IV0.22
ContractKO270115P00072500
SidePut
Expiry15 Jan 2027
Strike72.50
Volume2220
OI2859
IV0.27
ContractKO270115C00105000
SideCall
Expiry15 Jan 2027
Strike105.00
Volume2040
OI1675
IV0.20
ContractKO260918C00090000
SideCall
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike90.00
Volume1338
OI12270
IV0.20
ContractKO260807C00091000
SideCall
Expiry7 Aug 2026
Strike91.00
Volume1202
OI1407
IV0.24
ContractKO260807C00089000
SideCall
Expiry7 Aug 2026
Strike89.00
Volume1190
OI1008
IV0.21
ContractKO260821C00089000
SideCall
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike89.00
Volume1017
OI2345
IV0.21