Ticker Options Intelligence

LSPD options intelligence

Lightspeed Commerce Inc options pressure, expected move, strike concentration, and Sharemaestro trend context.

Conviction 45 Market data through 12 Aug 2026 Checked 13 Aug 2026 12:20 · complete available chain

Volatility expansion watch

Volatility pressure

LSPD currently carries volatility options pressure with a 45/100 conviction score. The nearest-chain expected move is 9.3%, with volume/open-interest participation at 0.00.

Primary read Volatility

Volatility expansion watch

Expected move 9.3%

Wider near-term move priced

Activity / OI 0.00

Current volume is quieter versus prior open interest

Put-call 0.22

Call-side skew

Trend fit 25

Options are not fully confirming trend

Weekly backdrop +3.5%

RS -12.6

Expected move 9.3%
Put-call volume 0.22
Volume / OI 0.00
Reference IV 0.60
Max pain 10.00
Underlying 10.46
Nearest expiry 21 Aug 2026
Contracts 172

Research Brief

LSPD has a volatility chain read with 45/100 evidence alignment.

The practical question is whether the underlying confirms the options concentration. The chain prices a reference range of 9.48–11.44; The largest call open-interest concentration is 17.00; the largest put concentration is 5.00. The most active strike by current volume is 9.00.

Priced range9.48–11.44
Call concentration17.00
Put concentration5.00
Max pain reference10.00
What would confirm it
  • A clear directional pressure reading develops and price begins to agree.
What would weaken it
  • Volatility falls and the chain remains directionally mixed.
  • Options and the weekly trend are not yet giving the same message.
  • Front-expiry volatility is rich, so the signal may be event-driven and vulnerable to volatility compression.

Priced Move

Where the chain says movement becomes exceptional

Size, not direction · through 21 Aug

Options imply 9.48 to 11.44. Max pain at 10.00 sits inside that range, 4.4% below spot.

Spot Max pain
9.4810.46 ± 0.9811.44
Confirmation level

A close beyond 11.44 or below 9.48 at the 21 Aug expiry would exceed the move currently priced by this chain.

Important limitation

The range is a pricing reference, not a forecast; volatility can reprice sharply after news or as expiry approaches.

Score Construction

Why conviction is 45/100

Evidence alignment, not probability

Pressure is 73/100 toward calls; conviction uses its strength, while the signal label carries its direction.

Directional pressure73 × 42%
+30.5

How strongly activity leans toward calls or puts.

Participation0 × 22%
+0.1

Volume relative to existing open interest and contract-level activity.

Trend agreement25 × 26%
+6.5

How closely the chain read agrees with the underlying trend backdrop.

Volatility79 × 10%
+7.9

The intensity of implied volatility and the priced move.

Reconstructed score45.0Matches stored calculation

Positioning by Strike

Where open interest and current activity concentrate

Full strike map

The largest call open-interest concentration is 17.00; the largest put concentration is 5.00. The most active strike by current volume is 9.00. Open-interest concentrations show where positions exist; they are not proven support, resistance or dealer exposure.

Put open interestStrikeCall open interest
0
4.00-61.8%
2
300
5.00-52.2%
0
1
6.00-42.6%
0
53
7.00-33.1%
1
21
8.00-23.5%
0
81
9.00-14.0%
49
83
10.00-4.4%
90
0
11.005.2%
133
0
12.0014.7%
23
0
13.0024.3%
12
0
14.0033.8%
14
0
15.0043.4%
3
0
16.0053.0%
0
0
17.0062.5%
325
0
18.0072.1%
0
0
19.0081.6%
0
0
20.0091.2%
0
Nearest spot strike Max pain strikeBars show relative OI within this expiry

Gamma Profile by Strike

Positive gamma proxy

Reported + model-estimated Greeks · 98% coverage

Call-side gamma sensitivity outweighs the put-side proxy across the retained chain. The largest bars mark levels where delta-hedging sensitivity may be most concentrated.

Net profile+$33,406Delta change / 1% move
Positive peak10.00+$13,600
Negative peak9.00-$677
Nearest balance9.05Interpolated sign change
StrikeNegativePositiveNet / 1% move
3.00-71.3%
+$0
5.00-52.2%
-$205
6.00-42.6%
+$5
7.00-33.1%
-$211
8.00-23.5%
+$4,989
9.00-14.0%
-$677
10.00-4.4%
+$13,600
11.005.2%
+$4,879
12.0014.7%
+$9,805
13.0024.3%
+$53
14.0033.8%
-$108
15.0043.4%
+$409
16.0053.0%
+$2
17.0062.5%
+$624
20.0091.2%
+$229
25.00139.0%
+$13
Positive call-side proxy Negative put-side proxyHighlighted row is nearest spot strike

Scenario proxy = gamma × open interest × 100 shares × spot² × 1%. Calls are positive and puts negative by convention. Missing Greeks use a Black-Scholes estimate from stored IV with zero rate and dividend assumptions. Open interest does not reveal who is long or short, so this is not observed dealer positioning or a forecast.

Volatility Curve

Front-loaded volatility

2.05× front/back

Near-term options are materially richer than later expirations, consistent with concentrated event or immediate-risk pricing.

0.60 21 Aug 9d
0.44 18 Sep 37d
0.47 20 Nov 100d
0.49 18 Dec 128d
0.29 19 Feb 191d

Volatility by Strike

Upside optionality premium

Nearest expiry, within 20% of spot

Out-of-the-money calls carry higher implied volatility than comparable puts, indicating richer upside optionality.

9
10
11
12
Put IV Call IV

Historical Replay

How matured reads behaved through expiry

0 matured · 0 directional

Forward validation is building. The earliest eligible stored read expires 21 Aug 2026; its result will appear after the matched closing reference is stored.

Directional follow-through-
Moves contained by pricing-
Average expiry move-
Validation readiness
  • Auditable calculationoriginal version retained
  • Independent entryone read per market session
  • Point-in-time referencerequired at entry
  • Matched expiry closereported only after maturity

Eligible snapshots must have a dated market session, stored signal, and point-in-time market reference. Each observation uses one read per market session and the first stored weekly close on or immediately after expiry; its original calculation version is retained. It is an evidence audit, not an executable strategy or evidence of future performance.

Evidence Quality

High

A100/100
Retained chain100%
Implied volatility100%
Two-sided quotes100%
Open interest100%
Chain status
Complete available chain
Market date
12 Aug 2026
Calculation
v2.0
Contracts
172 / 172
  • No material coverage gap was detected in the retained chain.

Aggregate chain data supports concentration, participation and pricing analysis. It does not identify trade aggressor, opening versus closing activity, multi-leg intent or dealer inventory.

Options Intent Radar

Volatility expansion bet

91/100
Primary intent Volatility expansion bet

The strongest message is movement risk: expected move and implied volatility are carrying more signal than direction.

Flow vs price divergence Volatility flow versus price

Options are pricing movement more than direction; compare expected move with the stock's actual weekly change.

Why this matters

Volatility expansion bet matters because it connects the options headline to the actual evidence: $192 of estimated gross traded notional, calls · 22-45 days · otm, and a volatility flow versus price backdrop. Use it as a research priority signal, then validate the chart, liquidity, event calendar, and risk before acting.

Options pressure+73
1W price+3.5%
Call premium95%
Put premium5%
Notional split C 95% / P 5% Estimated gross traded notional uses volume × contract multiplier × midpoint, or last price when no valid midpoint is available.
Freshness 0.00 Volume divided by open interest across the visible chain.
Trend fit 25/100 Agreement between options pressure and Sharemaestro market context.
Aggregate chain data does not identify trade aggressor or opening versus closing activity; call/put concentration is not proof of market direction.
Conviction clusters Calls · 22-45 days · OTM
Calls · 22-45 days · OTM calls cluster with 8 contracts traded, $122 estimated gross traded notional, and 64% of visible notional.
$122
Calls · 91+ days · OTM calls cluster with 1 contracts traded, $60 estimated gross traded notional, and 31% of visible notional.
$60
Puts · 8-21 days · OTM puts cluster with 2 contracts traded, $10 estimated gross traded notional, and 5% of visible notional.
$10

Setup Classification

Opportunity and risk frame

Context, not advice
Warning Volatility expansion

The tape is pricing or displaying unusually elevated activity.

Warning Event-risk setup

Expected move or upcoming earnings makes the setup more event-sensitive.

Negative Options disagreement

Options positioning is not confirming the underlying trend context.

Activity Anomaly

Warming up

-

9 of 10 completed market sessions are available. More session history is needed before activity can be compared with a reliable normal.

Baseline: 9 completed sessions

Volume rank-
Volume/OI rank-
IV rank-

Market Context

Underlying confirmation

Sharemaestro weekly
Close10.46
1W+3.5%
RS-12.6
Fair value-19.1%
Options pressure73
Speculation0
Volatility79
Trend fit25

Today Versus Normal

Stored-options context

View history
Expected move 9.3% history building
30d avg - · 9/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 9/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 9/60 sessions -
IV 0.60 history building
30d avg - · 9/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 9/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 9/60 sessions -
Put-call 0.22 history building
30d avg - · 7/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 7/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 7/60 sessions -
Volume/OI 0.00 history building
30d avg - · 9/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 9/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 9/60 sessions -

Pressure Trail

Recent pressure and volatility

Open trail
29 Jul 11:08 Volatility
Pressure 100
Move 16.9%
30 Jul 10:56 Bullish
Pressure 20
Move 16.4%
31 Jul 10:40 Mixed
Pressure 6
Move 12.6%
2 Aug 13:03 Volatility
Pressure 100
Move 10.1%
4 Aug 10:33 Bearish
Pressure -60
Move 10.1%
5 Aug 11:04 Bullish
Pressure 29
Move 10.1%
6 Aug 11:11 Volatility
Pressure -91
Move 11.4%
10 Aug 11:01 Bullish
Pressure 100
Move 5.3%

Strike Map

Where activity is clustering

Full strike map
Strike4.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 2
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike5.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 300
Strike6.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 1
Strike7.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 1
Puts · V 0 · OI 53
Strike8.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 21
Strike9.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 49
Puts · V 2 · OI 81
Strike10.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 90
Puts · V 0 · OI 83
Strike11.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 133
Puts · V 0 · OI 0

Term Structure

Expiration activity

Volume and IV
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Contracts34
Avg IV0.60
Put-call-
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Contracts34
Avg IV0.44
Put-call-
Expiry20 Nov 2026
Contracts36
Avg IV0.47
Put-call-
Expiry18 Dec 2026
Contracts32
Avg IV0.49
Put-call-
Expiry19 Feb 2027
Contracts36
Avg IV0.29
Put-call-

Skew

Call/put IV balance

OTM demand
21 Aug 2026Call IV premium
Call IV0.67
Put IV0.20
Skew-0.47
18 Sep 2026Put IV premium
Call IV0.41
Put IV0.81
Skew0.39
20 Nov 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.52
Put IV0.50
Skew-0.02
18 Dec 2026Put IV premium
Call IV0.45
Put IV0.74
Skew0.28
19 Feb 2027Put IV premium
Call IV0.03
Put IV0.65
Skew0.61

Contract Tape

Most active contracts

Full contract tape
ContractLSPD260918C00013000
SideCall
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike13.00
Volume5
OI-
IV0.34
ContractLSPD260918C00011000
SideCall
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike11.00
Volume3
OI-
IV0.40
ContractLSPD260821P00009000
SidePut
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike9.00
Volume2
OI81
IV0.52
ContractLSPD261218C00012000
SideCall
Expiry18 Dec 2026
Strike12.00
Volume1
OI608
IV0.44
ContractLSPD261218C00010000
SideCall
Expiry18 Dec 2026
Strike10.00
Volume-
OI904
IV0.43
ContractLSPD261218C00008000
SideCall
Expiry18 Dec 2026
Strike8.00
Volume-
OI733
IV0.56
ContractLSPD260821C00017000
SideCall
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike17.00
Volume-
OI325
IV1.34
ContractLSPD260821P00005000
SidePut
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike5.00
Volume-
OI300
IV2.09

Evidence context