CHDN NASDAQ Week ended 07 Aug 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Churchill Downs Incorporated · Consumer Cyclical · Gambling

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Latest close 87.86 USD
4.2% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -2.4% below the Trend Line and sits at 21.7% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 4.2%, after a 2.7% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. Options positioning is bullish with 39/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 58/100.

Setup score 33 out of 100
Latest Close 87.86 USD 7 Aug 2026
1W Return 4.2% latest completed week
4W Return 2.7% short-term follow-through
12W Return 1.3% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 17.3% 9 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.3x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • No strong opportunity cluster is confirmed yet; monitor trend and activity pressure.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through 4.2% Latest completed week; four-week move 2.7%. Indicator stack 10/38 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Options pressure Bullish 39/100 conviction; expected move 3.7%. News sentiment 58/100 62 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -2.4% below the Trend Line and sits at 21.7% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 4.2%, after a 2.7% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.3x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul 7 Aug
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.0812-week average 0.08

12-week confirmation

Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure7/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.08Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals1Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 2.7% over four weeks, 1.3% over 12 weeks, and -12.6% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W4.2%
4W2.7%
12W1.3%
26W-6.1%
52W-12.6%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year9
Trend breadth17.3%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.10Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-126.1%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-19.93Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change19.8%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 09 Aug 2026 Financial statements through 30 Jun 2026 Field coverage 97% Model confidence 97%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength80/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 21; rank 1 is best.
Value78/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 23; rank 1 is best.
Quality93/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 8; rank 1 is best.
Momentum11/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 90; rank 1 is best.
Growth23/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 78; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework73/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
14.9x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
2.0x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
9.6x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
11.2%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
52.9%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
29.4%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
40.3%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
10.5%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
5.7%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-4.7%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
0.0%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
6/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
0.5%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
1.4%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
1.9%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
4.1x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningBullish

CHDN shows bullish options pressure with a 39/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.08, expected move of 3.7%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Conviction39/100
Expected move3.7%
Put/call volume0.08
Pressure74
Speculation17
Volatility46
Trend agreement0
Open options detail
Insider activity9 / 0

9 acquisitions and 0 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment58/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 62 relevant articles.

26 positive · 34 neutral · 2 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move3.7%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-25.8%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility2.7%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher13 of 2613 weeks finished lower.
Best week+10.1%Week of 24 Apr.
Worst week-10.7%Week of 8 May.
Latest week+4.2%Week of 7 Aug.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains5
Modest gains8
Flat weeks0
Modest losses9
Sharp losses4
Recent vol2.7%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol4.2%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split23/29Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.5% / -3.1%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape28/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 28/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis22/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 7/12, relative leadership 0/12.

Activity pressure 0.08; No reversal markers Factors67/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 27; Small Cap Core rank 37 SVQF73/100

Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Composite rank 195.5 of 718 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Options41/100

CHDN shows bullish options pressure with a 39/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.08, expected move of 3.7%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Bullish · Call-side pressure · Expected move 3.7% Sentiment58/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 62 relevant articles.

Janus Henderson Group PLC Sells 88,273 Shares of Churchill Downs, Incorporated $CHDN Insiders9 / 0

9 acquisitions and 0 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

 Earnings50/100

No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
7 Aug 202687.86 USD4.2%90.03 USD113.0 USD-0.10-19.936.2MOff
31 Jul 202684.30 USD-2.5%90.71 USD113.2 USD-0.27-19.818.6MOff
24 Jul 202686.50 USD3.0%91.63 USD113.4 USD-0.15-17.983.5MOff
17 Jul 202683.95 USD-1.8%92.56 USD113.6 USD0.12-22.393.3MOff
10 Jul 202685.52 USD-5.9%93.59 USD113.9 USD0.37-24.854.7MOff
3 Jul 202690.91 USD2.2%94.63 USD114.2 USD0.41-19.393.8MOff
26 Jun 202688.93 USD0.7%95.35 USD114.5 USD0.29-21.067.2MOff
19 Jun 202688.27 USD1.5%96.01 USD114.8 USD0.13-25.696.1MOff
12 Jun 202686.94 USD0.0%96.59 USD115.0 USD-0.04-25.453.6MOff
5 Jun 202686.92 USD-0.3%96.99 USD115.4 USD-0.05-24.303.1MOff
29 May 202687.21 USD2.5%97.33 USD115.7 USD0.05-27.994.7MOff
22 May 202685.12 USD-1.9%97.72 USD116.0 USD0.13-28.233.3MOff
15 May 202686.73 USD-1.6%98.23 USD116.4 USD0.40-26.544.3MOff
8 May 202688.13 USD-10.7%98.35 USD116.7 USD0.35-26.165.7MOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.

Evidence context