BRSL NYSE Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Brightstar Lottery PLC · Consumer Cyclical · Gambling

Latest close 10.04 USD
-3.6% latest week
Weekly setup

Weak trend

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -17.6% below the Trend Line and sits at 1.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -3.6%, after a -10.8% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks weakly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers. Options positioning is volatility with 66/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 53/100.

Setup score 19 out of 100
Latest Close 10.04 USD 31 Jul 2026
1W Return -3.6% latest completed week
4W Return -10.8% short-term follow-through
12W Return -21.5% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 42.3% 22 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.2x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • No strong opportunity cluster is confirmed yet; monitor trend and activity pressure.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -17.6% below the Trend Line and sits at 1.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -3.6%, after a -10.8% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.2x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.0612-week average 0.04

12-week confirmation

Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure0/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.06Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -10.8% over four weeks, -21.5% over 12 weeks, and -27.0% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-3.6%
4W-10.8%
12W-21.5%
26W-28.0%
52W-27.0%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year22
Trend breadth42.3%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.71Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-2012.6%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-32.55Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-23.2%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks weakly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 02 Aug 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 94% Model confidence 89%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength44/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 57; rank 1 is best.
Value82/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 19; rank 1 is best.
Quality15/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 86; rank 1 is best.
Momentum5/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 96; rank 1 is best.
Growth9/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 92; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
11.7x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
0.7x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
6.2x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
3.4%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
45.6%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
20.7%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
7.9%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
8.0%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
3.3%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-46.6%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-85.0%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
4/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
8.8%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
14.7%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
23.5%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
3.0x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningVolatility

BRSL shows volatility options pressure with a 66/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.01, expected move of 18.2%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Conviction66/100
Expected move18.2%
Put/call volume0.01
Pressure100
Speculation69
Volatility93
Trend agreement0
Open options detail
Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment53/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 42 relevant articles.

10 positive · 29 neutral · 3 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings04 AugLatest stored earnings date was 04 Aug 2026.
Options expected move18.2%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-43.0%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility5.6%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher11 of 2615 weeks finished lower.
Best week+7.3%Week of 17 Apr.
Worst week-17.8%Week of 15 May.
Latest week-3.6%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains3
Modest gains8
Flat weeks0
Modest losses12
Sharp losses3
Recent vol5.6%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol4.2%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split24/28Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew2.6% / -3.2%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 202610.04 USD-3.6%12.19 USD15.28 USD-0.71-32.559.2MOff
24 Jul 202610.41 USD-3.1%12.35 USD15.37 USD-0.47-29.917.5MOff
17 Jul 202610.74 USD-1.6%12.50 USD15.46 USD-0.22-28.627.1MOff
10 Jul 202610.92 USD-3.0%12.66 USD15.54 USD-0.15-29.046.0MOff
3 Jul 202611.26 USD0.5%12.81 USD15.62 USD-0.03-26.426.7MOff
26 Jun 202611.20 USD-1.0%12.92 USD15.69 USD-0.10-25.688.6MOff
19 Jun 202611.31 USD-4.7%13.04 USD15.77 USD-0.25-27.057.0MOff
12 Jun 202611.87 USD5.6%13.17 USD15.83 USD-0.34-23.075.9MOff
5 Jun 202611.24 USD0.1%13.30 USD15.90 USD-0.47-26.958.4MOff
29 May 202611.23 USD2.3%13.45 USD15.97 USD-0.39-29.105.6MOff
22 May 202610.97 USD4.4%13.60 USD16.02 USD-0.32-30.029.3MOff
15 May 202610.51 USD-17.8%13.76 USD16.06 USD-0.27-32.7213.8MOff
8 May 202612.79 USD2.0%13.94 USD16.11 USD-0.28-18.595.3MOff
1 May 202612.54 USD-0.9%14.03 USD16.15 USD-0.67-18.744.4MOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.