Ticker Options Intelligence

MNST options intelligence

Monster Beverage Corp options pressure, expected move, strike concentration, and Sharemaestro trend context.

Conviction 41 Market data through 31 Jul 2026 Checked 1 Aug 2026 07:42 · complete available chain

Call-side pressure

Bullish pressure

MNST currently carries bullish options pressure with a 41/100 conviction score. The nearest-chain expected move is 8.7%, with volume/open-interest participation at 0.02.

Options Intelligence Opportunities Bullish confirmation Risks Unusual flow Vol expansion Repeated pressure Compare Chart Weekly report
Primary read Bullish

Call-side pressure

Expected move 8.7%

Wider near-term move priced

Activity / OI 0.02

Current volume is quieter versus prior open interest

Put-call 0.36

Call-side skew

Trend fit 46

Options are not fully confirming trend

Weekly backdrop +3.1%

RS 13.9

Expected move 8.7%
Put-call volume 0.36
Volume / OI 0.02
Reference IV 0.41
Max pain 95.00
Underlying 93.49
Nearest expiry 21 Aug 2026
Contracts 408

Research Brief

MNST has a bullish chain read with 41/100 evidence alignment.

The practical question is whether the underlying confirms the options concentration. The chain prices a reference range of 85.36–101.62; The largest call open-interest concentration is 90.00; the largest put concentration is 85.00. The most active strike by current volume is 95.00.

Priced range85.36–101.62
Call concentration90.00
Put concentration85.00
Max pain reference95.00
What would confirm it
  • Price holds or improves while call-side concentration remains elevated.
What would weaken it
  • Price weakens while call pressure fades or reverses toward puts.
  • Options and the weekly trend are not yet giving the same message.
  • Front-expiry volatility is rich, so the signal may be event-driven and vulnerable to volatility compression.

Priced Move

Where the chain says movement becomes exceptional

Size, not direction · through 21 Aug

Options imply 85.36 to 101.62. Max pain at 95.00 sits inside that range, 1.6% above spot.

Spot Max pain
85.3693.49 ± 8.13101.62
Confirmation level

A close beyond 101.62 or below 85.36 at the 21 Aug expiry would exceed the move currently priced by this chain.

Important limitation

The range is a pricing reference, not a forecast; volatility can reprice sharply after news or as expiry approaches.

Score Construction

Why conviction is 41/100

Evidence alignment, not probability

Pressure is 50/100 toward calls; conviction uses its strength, while the signal label carries its direction.

Directional pressure50 × 42%
+20.9

How strongly activity leans toward calls or puts.

Participation8 × 22%
+1.8

Volume relative to existing open interest and contract-level activity.

Trend agreement46 × 26%
+11.9

How closely the chain read agrees with the underlying trend backdrop.

Volatility64 × 10%
+6.4

The intensity of implied volatility and the priced move.

Reconstructed score41.1Matches stored calculation

Positioning by Strike

Where open interest and current activity concentrate

Full strike map

The largest call open-interest concentration is 90.00; the largest put concentration is 85.00. The most active strike by current volume is 95.00. Open-interest concentrations show where positions exist; they are not proven support, resistance or dealer exposure.

Put open interestStrikeCall open interest
1
65.00-30.5%
5
14
70.00-25.1%
0
15
75.00-19.8%
2
30
80.00-14.4%
5
16
82.50-11.8%
151
688
85.00-9.1%
9
198
87.50-6.4%
145
365
90.00-3.7%
1533
604
92.50-1.1%
153
666
95.001.6%
984
664
97.504.3%
503
685
100.007.0%
919
69
105.0012.3%
1363
1
110.0017.7%
534
0
115.0023.0%
128
0
120.0028.4%
4
0
125.0033.7%
0
Nearest spot strike Max pain strikeBars show relative OI within this expiry

Volatility Curve

Front-loaded volatility

1.29× front/back

Near-term options are materially richer than later expirations, consistent with concentrated event or immediate-risk pricing.

0.41 21 Aug 21d
0.32 18 Sep 49d
0.31 18 Dec 140d
0.31 15 Jan 168d
0.32 19 Mar 231d
0.32 17 Jun 321d
0.32 21 Jan 539d

Volatility by Strike

Balanced wings

Nearest expiry, within 20% of spot

Comparable upside calls and downside puts carry broadly similar implied volatility.

75
80
83
85
88
90
93
95
98
100
105
110
Put IV Call IV

Historical Replay

How matured reads behaved through expiry

0 directional observations

Forward validation is building. The earliest eligible stored read expires 21 Aug 2026; its result will appear after the matched closing reference is stored.

Directional follow-through-
Moves contained by pricing-
Average expiry move-
Validation readiness
  • Versioned calculationv2 observations only
  • Independent entryone read per market session
  • Point-in-time referencerequired at entry
  • Matched expiry closereported only after maturity

Only v2 snapshots with a point-in-time market reference are eligible. Each observation uses one read per market session and the first weekly close on or immediately after expiry. It is an evidence audit, not an executable strategy or evidence of future performance.

Evidence Quality

High

A100/100
Retained chain100%
Implied volatility100%
Two-sided quotes100%
Open interest100%
Chain status
Complete available chain
Market date
31 Jul 2026
Calculation
v2.0
Contracts
408 / 408
  • No material coverage gap was detected in the retained chain.

Aggregate chain data supports concentration, participation and pricing analysis. It does not identify trade aggressor, opening versus closing activity, multi-leg intent or dealer inventory.

Options Intent Radar

Earnings/event positioning

75/100
Primary intent Earnings/event positioning

Options activity is concentrated around a live event window, so the cleanest read is event positioning rather than pure direction.

Flow vs price divergence Bullish flow confirms price

Options pressure and weekly price action are pointing in the same constructive direction.

Why this matters

Earnings/event positioning matters because it connects the options headline to the actual evidence: $389588 of estimated gross traded notional, calls · 91+ days · otm, and a bullish flow confirms price backdrop. Use it as a research priority signal, then validate the chart, liquidity, event calendar, and risk before acting.

Options pressure+50
1W price+3.1%
Call premium76%
Put premium24%
Notional split C 76% / P 24% Estimated gross traded notional uses volume × contract multiplier × midpoint, or last price when no valid midpoint is available.
Freshness 0.02 Volume divided by open interest across the visible chain.
Trend fit 46/100 Agreement between options pressure and Sharemaestro market context.
Event window 6 Aug Matched earnings event is 4 days away.
Aggregate chain data does not identify trade aggressor or opening versus closing activity; call/put concentration is not proof of market direction.
Conviction clusters Calls · 91+ days · OTM
Calls · 91+ days · OTM calls cluster with 496 contracts traded, $240498 estimated gross traded notional, and 62% of visible notional.
$240498
Puts · 91+ days · ATM puts cluster with 55 contracts traded, $41110 estimated gross traded notional, and 11% of visible notional.
$41110
Calls · 91+ days · ITM calls cluster with 8 contracts traded, $14475 estimated gross traded notional, and 4% of visible notional.
$14475
Calls · 8-21 days · ITM calls cluster with 13 contracts traded, $14090 estimated gross traded notional, and 4% of visible notional.
$14090
Puts · 91+ days · OTM puts cluster with 24 contracts traded, $13407 estimated gross traded notional, and 3% of visible notional.
$13407

Setup Classification

Opportunity and risk frame

Context, not advice
Warning Volatility expansion

The tape is pricing or displaying unusually elevated activity.

Warning Event-risk setup

Expected move or upcoming earnings makes the setup more event-sensitive.

Warning Crowded strike risk

Underlying price is close to the max-pain zone.

Warning Bullish pressure over fair value

Call pressure is building while the stock sits above Sharemaestro fair value.

Activity Anomaly

Warming up

-

3 of 10 completed market sessions are available. More session history is needed before activity can be compared with a reliable normal.

Baseline: 3 completed sessions

Volume rank-
Volume/OI rank-
IV rank-

Market Context

Underlying confirmation

Sharemaestro weekly
Close96.38
1W+3.1%
RS13.9
Fair value+54.5%
Options pressure50
Speculation8
Volatility64
Trend fit46

Today Versus Normal

Stored-options context

View history
Expected move 8.7% history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -
IV 0.41 history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -
Put-call 0.36 history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -
Volume/OI 0.02 history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -

Pressure Trail

Recent pressure and volatility

Open trail
29 Jul 10:03 Bullish
Pressure 36
Move 10.2%
30 Jul 10:02 Bullish
Pressure 27
Move 8.5%
31 Jul 10:01 Bearish
Pressure -21
Move 9.9%
1 Aug 06:42 Bullish
Pressure 50
Move 8.7%

Strike Map

Where activity is clustering

Full strike map
Strike65.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 5
Puts · V 0 · OI 1
Strike70.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 14
Strike75.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 2
Puts · V 0 · OI 15
Strike80.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 5
Puts · V 0 · OI 30
Strike82.50
Calls · V 3 · OI 151
Puts · V 0 · OI 16
Strike85.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 9
Puts · V 27 · OI 688
Strike87.50
Calls · V 6 · OI 145
Puts · V 5 · OI 198
Strike90.00
Calls · V 4 · OI 1533
Puts · V 9 · OI 365

Term Structure

Expiration activity

Volume and IV
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Contracts38
Avg IV0.41
Put-call1.62
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Contracts64
Avg IV0.32
Put-call0.54
Expiry18 Dec 2026
Contracts68
Avg IV0.31
Put-call0.06
Expiry15 Jan 2027
Contracts70
Avg IV0.31
Put-call0.01
Expiry19 Mar 2027
Contracts58
Avg IV0.32
Put-call1.00

Skew

Call/put IV balance

OTM demand
21 Aug 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.40
Put IV0.41
Skew0.02
18 Sep 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.31
Put IV0.32
Skew0.01
18 Dec 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.29
Put IV0.31
Skew0.02
15 Jan 2027Balanced skew
Call IV0.30
Put IV0.31
Skew0.01
19 Mar 2027Balanced skew
Call IV0.30
Put IV0.29
Skew-0.01

Contract Tape

Most active contracts

Full contract tape
ContractMNST270115C00110000
SideCall
Expiry15 Jan 2027
Strike110.00
Volume252
OI612
IV0.30
ContractMNST261218C00100000
SideCall
Expiry18 Dec 2026
Strike100.00
Volume144
OI1166
IV0.31
ContractMNST260918C00105000
SideCall
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike105.00
Volume57
OI725
IV0.31
ContractMNST270319C00110000
SideCall
Expiry19 Mar 2027
Strike110.00
Volume30
OI88
IV0.30
ContractMNST270319P00095000
SidePut
Expiry19 Mar 2027
Strike95.00
Volume29
OI83
IV0.31
ContractMNST260821P00085000
SidePut
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike85.00
Volume27
OI688
IV0.45
ContractMNST260821P00095000
SidePut
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike95.00
Volume21
OI666
IV0.40
ContractMNST260821P00092500
SidePut
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike92.50
Volume20
OI604
IV0.40