๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ China ยท Industry Week Ending: 25 September 2026

Lumber & Wood Production

For the week ending 25 September 2026, Lumber & Wood Production advanced 4.42% with 6 advancing, 2 declining, and 0 unchanged constituents.

Index level
1,361.59
Index points ยท base 1,000
Weekly return
4.42%
Measured companies
8
8 in the index universe
Weekly breadth
6 up / 2 down
0 unchanged
Weekly peer rank
1 of 13
Universe country-listed ยท Equity onlyPrice basis Adjusted weekly closeConstruction Capped equal-weight returns ยท Weekly rebuild
Explore Basic Materials โ†’

156 completed weeks

Lumber & Wood Production price and trend

Current architecture Unresolved 7 completed weeks in this state
Trend acceptance 2.5% Index versus Trend Line
Persistence 50% Positive regime, horizons divided
Participation 75% 6 advancing, 2 declining
Index Value Trend Line Fair Value Activity Lines Constructive Transition Defensive

Weekly index closes and the Trend Line. Dashed grey shows the latest Fair Value reference; it is not a historical forecast. Enable the other overlays for more detail.

Investor positioning lens

Is the evidence ready for capital?

A rules-based technical classification using trend, breadth, persistence, relative strength and path quality.

Current posture Hold and wait for confirmation

The evidence is balanced enough to avoid a defensive call, but not aligned enough for aggressive positioning.

59 technical evidence
out of 100
Evidence balance

Five-pillar map

Wait
Trend
37
Breadth
68
Persistence
49
Relative
93
Risk quality
71
What supports the view
  • Participation is broad enough to support the index move.
  • Relative performance is improving within its parent hierarchy.
What restrains conviction
  • Index trend architecture has not delivered a durable upward expansion.
  • Constituent persistence remains divided or predominantly negative.
  • Stage 4 declining constituents exceed Stage 2 advancing constituents by 25 percentage points.
  • The index is extended well above current Fair Value, increasing chase risk.
  • Positive contribution is concentrated in a small leadership cohort.

This is a weekly research classification, not personal investment advice. Sentiment is reported as an independent confirmation layer and does not alter the technical score.

Trend state and durability

Architecture, persistence and constituent regimes

The index path is tested against the underlying security-level trend evidence.

Index architecture Unresolved

The Activity Lines, Trend Line and price acceptance remain genuinely mixed.

State age7 weeks
Trend gateDown
Fan width4.73%
Fast versus slow change4.93 pts
Above 67% Below 0%
Six completed weeks of price acceptance relative to the full Activity Line fan.
Index persistence

Positive regime, horizons divided

50% agreement

The 52-week trend is positive, although not every measured horizon confirms it.

13-week
18.0%
26-week
-5.0%
39-week
-7.6%
52-week
16.8%
Regime age85 weeks 52-week flips0 52-week boundary1165.29
Constituent trend persistence

Is the index move broadly durable?

100% coverage
Coherent positive12%
Coherent negative12%
Average horizon agreement66%
Positive horizon share47%
Weakening positives1
Repairing negatives2

8 constituents measured as of 18 Sep 2026. Median trend age is 12 weeks.

Custom stage map

Where constituents sit in the cycle

100% coverage
Stage 1 ยท Basing13%1 securities
Stage 2 ยท Advancing25%2 securities
Stage 3 ยท Distribution13%1 securities
Stage 4 ยท Declining50%4 securities
Re-acceleration watch1 Transition watch2 Relative strength leaders62% Fair Value repairs0

Measured as of 25 Sep 2026. Stages summarize price, Activity Line architecture, Fair Value position and relative evidence.

Architecture breadth

How market energy is distributed

76/100 mean confidence
Upward expansion
0% 0
Rotation up
38% 3
Deceleration
0% 0
Balance
25% 2
Rotation down
0% 0
Downward expansion
38% 3
Unresolved
0% 0

Architecture breadth shows the distribution of expanding, rotating, balancing and contracting securities. It is diagnostic context and is not added as a second vote in the positioning score.

Capital rotation

Performance relative to Basic Materials

Improving
Relative index 13-week relative trend Starting level
Rotation dashboard Improving

The relative index starts at 100. Above 100 means this group has outperformed Basic Materials since the first plotted date; below 100 means it has lagged. A rising line can show relative improvement even when both markets are falling.

Relative index91.5
13-week trend84.9
4-week trend change2.78%
Weekly peer rank1 of 13
1 week
4.5 pts relative
4 weeks
5.2 pts relative
13 weeks
20.4 pts relative
26 weeks
-0.3 pts relative
52 weeks
7.5 pts relative

Market internals

Participation, dispersion and path risk

Equal-weight index evidence with constituent-level breadth and dispersion.

Breadth

Participation quality

Broad
Advancing
6
Declining
2
Unchanged
0
4-week average 59%
13-week average 61%
Risk and persistence

Path quality

52-week lens
Annualised weekly volatility27.8%
Drawdown from 52-week high-13.4%
Positive weeks, last 1369%
Current directional run2 weeks
Turnover versus 13-week norm226%
Breadth impulse15.6 pts
Cross-section

Return distribution

8 measured

Weekly returns across measured companies. Bars are scaled to the largest group; percentages show each groupโ€™s share.

Q1 0.5% Median 2.8% Q3 5.2%
Average winner8.6%
Average loser-3.9%
Dispersion11.2 pts
Top-five upside share97%
Top-five capital share82%
Capital data coverage100%

Dispersion describes how far constituent outcomes are spreading apart. Capital concentration is contextual only; the index itself is equal weighted.

Momentum cycle

30-week price change

Index price change over 30 weeks, or the available history if shorter. Green above zero; red below.

Breadth cycle

Net participation

Advancers less decliners as a percentage of measured constituents.

Within the same sector

Where are returns broadly supported?

Compare the weekly result with the share of companies advancing.

โ†‘ Companies advancing ยท 50% marks half of measured companies

Mixed beneath declinesBroad gainsBroad declinesNarrow gains 12345678910111213

โˆ’8.2%Weekly index return ยท zero at centre+8.2%

Compare return with participationHover or focus a marker for the full reading. Select it to open the report.

Markers show weekly return rank. Hover or focus for the name. Fine lines connect separated markers to their actual positions. Up, down and unchanged companies all count in participation.

Rank / IndustryWeekly returnAdvancing shareUp / downCompaniesWeek ending
1Lumber & Wood ProductionBasic Materials4.42%75%6 / 2825 Sep 2026
2Coking CoalBasic Materials2.44%56%5 / 3925 Sep 2026
3Specialty ChemicalsBasic Materials0.95%54%134 / 11424925 Sep 2026
4Building MaterialsBasic Materials0.62%54%21 / 173925 Sep 2026
5ChemicalsBasic Materials0.21%42%76 / 10518325 Sep 2026
6AluminumBasic Materials-0.13%31%11 / 243625 Sep 2026
7Agricultural InputsBasic Materials-0.29%43%24 / 315625 Sep 2026
8Paper & Paper ProductsBasic Materials-1.17%21%5 / 192425 Sep 2026
9SteelBasic Materials-1.24%24%14 / 445925 Sep 2026
10Other Precious Metals & MiningBasic Materials-1.36%25%1 / 3425 Sep 2026
11Other Industrial Metals & MiningBasic Materials-2.60%14%8 / 485625 Sep 2026
12CopperBasic Materials-3.73%0%0 / 151525 Sep 2026
13GoldBasic Materials-8.23%0%0 / 8825 Sep 2026

China ยท Weekly return relationships

Which markets move together?

Compare sectors and industries within China over the same 52-week window. Strong positive relationships can mean that apparently different holdings share the same risk.

Sectors ยท average pair correlation0.59

Closest: Industrials and Consumer Cyclical (0.93; 51 weeks).

11 indexes ยท 55 qualifying pairs
Industries ยท average pair correlation0.51

Closest: Specialty Industrial Machinery and Metal Fabrication (0.98; 51 weeks).

113 indexes ยท 6328 qualifying pairs

Pearson correlation of weekly percentage returns through 25 Sep 2026: +1 means moving together, 0 little linear relationship, โˆ’1 moving in opposite directions. Requires 39 matching observations for the 52-week comparison and 10 for the recent 13 weeks. Missing weeks are excluded, not filled with zero. Constant series have no defined correlation. These are local-currency, capped equal-weight indexes; sectors and their component industries overlap. A lower correlation does not establish a hedge.

Sector correlations compare broad business groups. Industry correlations reveal closer links within and across sectors. The selectors retain all qualified groups; the matrix shows the ten largest by company coverage.

News and narrative

Does company news confirm the market tape?

Open Sentiment Intelligence
Sentiment evidence is still developing

Qualified company-level news coverage is not yet broad enough to influence the group view.

0 qualified records across 8 measured constituents.

Leadership tape

Leaders, laggards and contribution shape

Latest completed week, ranked on uncapped constituent returns.

Constituent ledger

Industry constituents

All 8 measured constituents, ranked by latest weekly return.

Rank Ticker Company Exchange Market cap Close Index contribution Return
1 000910 Dare Power Dekor Home Co.,Ltd. SHZ 3.11B 7.60 3.13 pts
33.57%
2 002679 Fujian Jinsen Forestry Co.,Ltd SHZ 2.61B 11.58 0.76 pts
6.04%
3 600265 Yunnan Jinggu Forestry Co.,Ltd SHH 2.94B 23.41 0.61 pts
4.88%
4 002043 DeHua TB New Decoration Material Co.,Ltd SHZ 9.17B 11.40 0.43 pts
3.45%
5 000663 Fujian Yongan Forestry(Group)Joint-Stock Co.,Ltd. SHZ 2.00B 6.08 0.27 pts
2.18%
6 000592 Zhongfu Straits (Pingtan) Development Company Limited SHZ 16.67B 8.78 0.22 pts
1.74%
7 601996 Guangxi Fenglin Wood Industry Group Co.,Ltd SHH 3.34B 2.90 -0.42 pts
-3.33%
8 600076 Kangxin New Materials Co., Ltd SHH 3.09B 2.09 -0.57 pts
-4.57%

The index uses capped equal-weight weekly constituent returns. The ledger shows uncapped security returns so outliers remain visible for research.

Evidence context